Current forecast models show moderate uncertainty in Chengdu's peak temperature for August 2, with ensemble runs from global systems like ECMWF and GFS clustering around 24–26°C amid typical August monsoon influences. High humidity, cloud cover variability, and local urban heat effects in the Sichuan basin are key differentiators pushing probabilities toward the mid-20s range, while historical baselines for the date average near 30°C. Traders appear to weigh recent model shifts in steering patterns and precipitation timing, with updates from national meteorological agencies expected to refine outcomes before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 2?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 2?
24°C 24%
25°C 22%
26°C 21%
27°C 13%
BAGO
$17,652 Vol.
BAGO
$17,652 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
7%
24°C
24%
25°C
22%
26°C
21%
27°C
13%
28°C
11%
29°C or higher
7%
24°C 24%
25°C 22%
26°C 21%
27°C 13%
BAGO
$17,652 Vol.
BAGO
$17,652 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
19°C or below
$334 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$325 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$740 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,038 Vol.
7%
24°C
$5,671 Vol.
24%
25°C
$3,432 Vol.
22%
26°C
$621 Vol.
21%
27°C
$1,179 Vol.
13%
28°C
$1,655 Vol.
11%
29°C or higher
$2,237 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models show moderate uncertainty in Chengdu's peak temperature for August 2, with ensemble runs from global systems like ECMWF and GFS clustering around 24–26°C amid typical August monsoon influences. High humidity, cloud cover variability, and local urban heat effects in the Sichuan basin are key differentiators pushing probabilities toward the mid-20s range, while historical baselines for the date average near 30°C. Traders appear to weigh recent model shifts in steering patterns and precipitation timing, with updates from national meteorological agencies expected to refine outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$17,652Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models show moderate uncertainty in Chengdu's peak temperature for August 2, with ensemble runs from global systems like ECMWF and GFS clustering around 24–26°C amid typical August monsoon influences. High humidity, cloud cover variability, and local urban heat effects in the Sichuan basin are key differentiators pushing probabilities toward the mid-20s range, while historical baselines for the date average near 30°C. Traders appear to weigh recent model shifts in steering patterns and precipitation timing, with updates from national meteorological agencies expected to refine outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,652Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models show moderate uncertainty in Chengdu's peak temperature for August 2, with ensemble runs from global systems like ECMWF and GFS clustering around 24–26°C amid typical August monsoon influences. High humidity, cloud cover variability, and local urban heat effects in the Sichuan basin are key differentiators pushing probabilities toward the mid-20s range, while historical baselines for the date average near 30°C. Traders appear to weigh recent model shifts in steering patterns and precipitation timing, with updates from national meteorological agencies expected to refine outcomes before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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