**Trader sentiment centers on a 30°C peak for Beijing on August 31, reflecting ensemble forecasts from multiple global models showing a daytime maximum of 29–31°C under clear to mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow.** Stable high pressure and seasonal late-August conditions—historical average high near 29°C—favor modest diurnal heating without strong advection or moisture to push extremes higher. Minor spreads in model guidance on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing keep 31°C close behind, while probabilities drop sharply outside 29–32°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined short-range runs over the next 24 hours will refine resolution between these closely matched outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Beijing on August 31?
30°C 44%
31°C 35%
32°C 10%
29°C 9%
$12,824 Vol.
$12,824 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
44%
31°C
35%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
31°C 35%
32°C 10%
29°C 9%
$12,824 Vol.
$12,824 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
44%
31°C
35%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment centers on a 30°C peak for Beijing on August 31, reflecting ensemble forecasts from multiple global models showing a daytime maximum of 29–31°C under clear to mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow.** Stable high pressure and seasonal late-August conditions—historical average high near 29°C—favor modest diurnal heating without strong advection or moisture to push extremes higher. Minor spreads in model guidance on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing keep 31°C close behind, while probabilities drop sharply outside 29–32°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined short-range runs over the next 24 hours will refine resolution between these closely matched outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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