**Recent polling and seat projections for Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois leading popular vote intentions at roughly 28–30 percent, ahead of the CAQ at 23–27 percent, the Liberals at 20–24 percent, the Conservatives at 15–16 percent, and Québec solidaire near 9–10 percent.** The PQ’s francophone concentration gives it an edge in many ridings outside Montreal, yet overall support near 30 percent and a highly fragmented field produce seat forecasts that often place the party in minority territory or with only a slim path to the 64-seat majority threshold. The CAQ has narrowed the gap in late-August surveys amid voter concern over U.S. trade tensions and tariffs, boosting Premier Christine Fréchette’s standing on economic management. Liberals retain strength among anglophones and allophones on the Island of Montreal, further splitting the federalist vote and limiting any single party’s seat haul. With many ridings projected as tight two- or three-way contests and a sizable share of undecided voters, modest shifts in regional or second-choice support over the campaign’s final weeks could easily determine whether the PQ secures a majority or forms a minority government.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว48% โอกาส
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Oct 5, 2026
48% โอกาส
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Oct 5, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**Recent polling and seat projections for Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois leading popular vote intentions at roughly 28–30 percent, ahead of the CAQ at 23–27 percent, the Liberals at 20–24 percent, the Conservatives at 15–16 percent, and Québec solidaire near 9–10 percent.**
The PQ’s francophone concentration gives it an edge in many ridings outside Montreal, yet overall support near 30 percent and a highly fragmented field produce seat forecasts that often place the party in minority territory or with only a slim path to the 64-seat majority threshold. The CAQ has narrowed the gap in late-August surveys amid voter concern over U.S. trade tensions and tariffs, boosting Premier Christine Fréchette’s standing on economic management. Liberals retain strength among anglophones and allophones on the Island of Montreal, further splitting the federalist vote and limiting any single party’s seat haul. With many ridings projected as tight two- or three-way contests and a sizable share of undecided voters, modest shifts in regional or second-choice support over the campaign’s final weeks could easily determine whether the PQ secures a majority or forms a minority government.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**Recent polling and seat projections for Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois leading popular vote intentions at roughly 28–30 percent, ahead of the CAQ at 23–27 percent, the Liberals at 20–24 percent, the Conservatives at 15–16 percent, and Québec solidaire near 9–10 percent.**
The PQ’s francophone concentration gives it an edge in many ridings outside Montreal, yet overall support near 30 percent and a highly fragmented field produce seat forecasts that often place the party in minority territory or with only a slim path to the 64-seat majority threshold. The CAQ has narrowed the gap in late-August surveys amid voter concern over U.S. trade tensions and tariffs, boosting Premier Christine Fréchette’s standing on economic management. Liberals retain strength among anglophones and allophones on the Island of Montreal, further splitting the federalist vote and limiting any single party’s seat haul. With many ridings projected as tight two- or three-way contests and a sizable share of undecided voters, modest shifts in regional or second-choice support over the campaign’s final weeks could easily determine whether the PQ secures a majority or forms a minority government.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...**Recent polling and seat projections for Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois leading popular vote intentions at roughly 28–30 percent, ahead of the CAQ at 23–27 percent, the Liberals at 20–24 percent, the Conservatives at 15–16 percent, and Québec solidaire near 9–10 percent.** The PQ’s francophone concentration gives it an edge in many ridings outside Montreal, yet overall support near 30 percent and a highly fragmented field produce seat forecasts that often place the party in minority territory or with only a slim path to the 64-seat majority threshold. The CAQ has narrowed the gap in late-August surveys amid voter concern over U.S. trade tensions and tariffs, boosting Premier Christine Fréchette’s standing on economic management. Liberals retain strength among anglophones and allophones on the Island of Montreal, further splitting the federalist vote and limiting any single party’s seat haul. With many ridings projected as tight two- or three-way contests and a sizable share of undecided voters, modest shifts in regional or second-choice support over the campaign’s final weeks could easily determine whether the PQ secures a majority or forms a minority government.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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