The Falealili No. 1 by-election in Samoa stems from the Electoral Court's March 2026 ruling, upheld on appeal, that voided FAST Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo's 2025 general election win on bribery grounds following a petition by HRPP candidate Tuiloma Tusa Laniselota Lameko. Both are barred from contesting under electoral law, leaving a wide field of candidates including independents and representatives from FAST, HRPP, and smaller groups. With no dominant frontrunner identified and all listed outcomes priced equally at market consensus levels, trader sentiment reflects the open nature of the multi-candidate contest in a constituency where local village networks, party endorsements, and turnout dynamics typically decide close races. Scheduled writ issuance and formal nominations remain key upcoming milestones that could consolidate support behind particular contenders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAuseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 100%
Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen 100%
Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea 100%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 100%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale
100%
Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen
100%
Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea
100%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai
100%
Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu
100%
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu
100%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko
100%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 100%
Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen 100%
Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea 100%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 100%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale
100%
Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen
100%
Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea
100%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai
100%
Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu
100%
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu
100%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko
100%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Falealili No. 1 by-election in Samoa stems from the Electoral Court's March 2026 ruling, upheld on appeal, that voided FAST Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo's 2025 general election win on bribery grounds following a petition by HRPP candidate Tuiloma Tusa Laniselota Lameko. Both are barred from contesting under electoral law, leaving a wide field of candidates including independents and representatives from FAST, HRPP, and smaller groups. With no dominant frontrunner identified and all listed outcomes priced equally at market consensus levels, trader sentiment reflects the open nature of the multi-candidate contest in a constituency where local village networks, party endorsements, and turnout dynamics typically decide close races. Scheduled writ issuance and formal nominations remain key upcoming milestones that could consolidate support behind particular contenders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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