The tight Polymarket pricing around 43% for both Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise (CAQ) and Frédéric Côté (PQ) in the La Prairie riding reflects the broader volatility of Quebec’s October 5, 2026 general election, called August 27 after dissolution of the National Assembly. Provincial polls show the PQ holding a narrow lead that has narrowed sharply as the CAQ rebounds under Christine Fréchette, with recent surveys placing the two parties within a few points amid francophone voter shifts and tariff-related issues. La Prairie’s suburban Montreal demographics have historically favored the CAQ, yet the absence of longtime incumbent Christian Dubé (now Independent) and the presence of competitive new candidates for the PQ, Liberals, and QS keep the seat in play. Further movement in province-wide polling, riding-specific surveys, or campaign momentum in the final weeks could widen the gap between the top two contenders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLa Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Frédéric Côté 43%
Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise 43%
Sonia Ziadé 25%
Francine van Winden 25%
Frédéric Côté
43%
Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise
43%
Sonia Ziadé
25%
Francine van Winden
25%
Frédéric Côté 43%
Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise 43%
Sonia Ziadé 25%
Francine van Winden 25%
Frédéric Côté
43%
Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise
43%
Sonia Ziadé
25%
Francine van Winden
25%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The tight Polymarket pricing around 43% for both Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise (CAQ) and Frédéric Côté (PQ) in the La Prairie riding reflects the broader volatility of Quebec’s October 5, 2026 general election, called August 27 after dissolution of the National Assembly. Provincial polls show the PQ holding a narrow lead that has narrowed sharply as the CAQ rebounds under Christine Fréchette, with recent surveys placing the two parties within a few points amid francophone voter shifts and tariff-related issues. La Prairie’s suburban Montreal demographics have historically favored the CAQ, yet the absence of longtime incumbent Christian Dubé (now Independent) and the presence of competitive new candidates for the PQ, Liberals, and QS keep the seat in play. Further movement in province-wide polling, riding-specific surveys, or campaign momentum in the final weeks could widen the gap between the top two contenders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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