Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate an overnight low near 27–28 °C for Wuhan on August 24, driven by high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly flow that keeps the boundary layer warm. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 28 °C outcome at 44 % implied probability, while the 32 °C or higher share reflects potential for minimal cooling if showers persist overnight. Lower probabilities for 26 °C or below correspond to scenarios requiring clearer skies and drier air than currently projected. Updated model runs and any evening observations from the China Meteorological Administration will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
32°C or higher 57%
28°C 44%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
22%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
44%
29°C
27%
30°C
10%
31°C
25%
32°C or higher
57%
32°C or higher 57%
28°C 44%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$35 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$70 ปริมาณ
8%
24°C
$55 ปริมาณ
22%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
30°C
$5 ปริมาณ
10%
31°C
$149 ปริมาณ
25%
32°C or higher
$145 ปริมาณ
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate an overnight low near 27–28 °C for Wuhan on August 24, driven by high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly flow that keeps the boundary layer warm. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 28 °C outcome at 44 % implied probability, while the 32 °C or higher share reflects potential for minimal cooling if showers persist overnight. Lower probabilities for 26 °C or below correspond to scenarios requiring clearer skies and drier air than currently projected. Updated model runs and any evening observations from the China Meteorological Administration will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$459วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate an overnight low near 27–28 °C for Wuhan on August 24, driven by high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly flow that keeps the boundary layer warm. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 28 °C outcome at 44 % implied probability, while the 32 °C or higher share reflects potential for minimal cooling if showers persist overnight. Lower probabilities for 26 °C or below correspond to scenarios requiring clearer skies and drier air than currently projected. Updated model runs and any evening observations from the China Meteorological Administration will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$459วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate an overnight low near 27–28 °C for Wuhan on August 24, driven by high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly flow that keeps the boundary layer warm. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 28 °C outcome at 44 % implied probability, while the 32 °C or higher share reflects potential for minimal cooling if showers persist overnight. Lower probabilities for 26 °C or below correspond to scenarios requiring clearer skies and drier air than currently projected. Updated model runs and any evening observations from the China Meteorological Administration will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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