Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, WeatherBug, and local Israeli services indicate typical late-summer conditions for Tel Aviv on August 24, with clear skies, light northwest winds, and high pressure favoring moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. This supports market-implied odds clustering around 23–26°C lows, as dew points near 20–22°C and humidity levels of 70–90% overnight limit extreme drops. The near-even split between 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher outcomes reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any subtle onshore flow variations that could either enhance or suppress minimum temperatures by 2–4°C. Updated model runs tonight will likely clarify the balance between these scenarios ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24?
30°C or higher 63%
20°C or below 38%
23°C 31%
24°C 29%
20°C or below
38%
21°C
25%
22°C
27%
23°C
31%
24°C
29%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
5%
28°C
7%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
63%
30°C or higher 63%
20°C or below 38%
23°C 31%
24°C 29%
20°C or below
38%
21°C
25%
22°C
27%
23°C
31%
24°C
29%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
5%
28°C
7%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
63%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, WeatherBug, and local Israeli services indicate typical late-summer conditions for Tel Aviv on August 24, with clear skies, light northwest winds, and high pressure favoring moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. This supports market-implied odds clustering around 23–26°C lows, as dew points near 20–22°C and humidity levels of 70–90% overnight limit extreme drops. The near-even split between 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher outcomes reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any subtle onshore flow variations that could either enhance or suppress minimum temperatures by 2–4°C. Updated model runs tonight will likely clarify the balance between these scenarios ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย