**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to overnight lows of 26–27°C in Shenzhen on September 5, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling in this subtropical coastal setting.** September climatology typically features minimum temperatures near 24°C, but recent regional conditions—marked by moist southerly flow and scattered showers—have kept the boundary layer warm and stable, preventing deeper cooling. Official guidance consistently shows lows holding around 25–27°C through the night, with 27°C emerging as the modal outcome in trader-implied probabilities due to the latest model runs favoring slightly milder readings amid ongoing cloudiness. No major synoptic shifts, such as stronger cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences, are expected before resolution, though minor forecast revisions could still adjust the exact minimum within the narrow 26–27°C band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 5?
22°C 10%
23°C 10%
24°C 10%
21°C or below 2%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
1%
26°C
35%
27°C
66%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 10%
23°C 10%
24°C 10%
21°C or below 2%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
1%
26°C
35%
27°C
66%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to overnight lows of 26–27°C in Shenzhen on September 5, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling in this subtropical coastal setting.** September climatology typically features minimum temperatures near 24°C, but recent regional conditions—marked by moist southerly flow and scattered showers—have kept the boundary layer warm and stable, preventing deeper cooling. Official guidance consistently shows lows holding around 25–27°C through the night, with 27°C emerging as the modal outcome in trader-implied probabilities due to the latest model runs favoring slightly milder readings amid ongoing cloudiness. No major synoptic shifts, such as stronger cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences, are expected before resolution, though minor forecast revisions could still adjust the exact minimum within the narrow 26–27°C band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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