**Forecasts from multiple sources, including GFS-based models and local climatological data, indicate the overnight low for New York City on September 13, 2026, will settle in the low 70s°F.** Current conditions feature persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90-100%, light variable winds, and widespread rain or thunderstorms, which limit nighttime radiational cooling. Official outlooks list a morning low around 70-72°F, consistent with the market's 95% implied probability for the 70-71°F bin. This positioning reflects the warm, moist air mass in place rather than typical September climatology (historical average low near 63°F). Model consensus shows little deviation expected before dawn, with any clearing insufficient to drive sharper drops. The market's heavy weighting aligns with real-time observational trends and short-range guidance from agencies like the National Weather Service. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly rapid clearing of clouds combined with calm winds and drier air allowing enhanced cooling—conditions not supported by current model runs or surface observations. Updated evening forecasts or station-specific readings could still introduce minor variance within the narrow range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on September 13?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 13?
70-71°F 95%
68-69°F 6%
66-67°F 3%
63°F or below <1%
$10,132 ปริมาณ
$10,132 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
95%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 95%
68-69°F 6%
66-67°F 3%
63°F or below <1%
$10,132 ปริมาณ
$10,132 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
63°F or below
$1,171 ปริมาณ
1%
64-65°F
$670 ปริมาณ
1%
66-67°F
$508 ปริมาณ
3%
68-69°F
$1,006 ปริมาณ
6%
70-71°F
$1,027 ปริมาณ
95%
72-73°F
$3,395 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$1,433 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$193 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$506 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$112 ปริมาณ
<1%
82°F or higher
$112 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from multiple sources, including GFS-based models and local climatological data, indicate the overnight low for New York City on September 13, 2026, will settle in the low 70s°F.** Current conditions feature persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90-100%, light variable winds, and widespread rain or thunderstorms, which limit nighttime radiational cooling. Official outlooks list a morning low around 70-72°F, consistent with the market's 95% implied probability for the 70-71°F bin.
This positioning reflects the warm, moist air mass in place rather than typical September climatology (historical average low near 63°F). Model consensus shows little deviation expected before dawn, with any clearing insufficient to drive sharper drops. The market's heavy weighting aligns with real-time observational trends and short-range guidance from agencies like the National Weather Service.
A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly rapid clearing of clouds combined with calm winds and drier air allowing enhanced cooling—conditions not supported by current model runs or surface observations. Updated evening forecasts or station-specific readings could still introduce minor variance within the narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,132วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from multiple sources, including GFS-based models and local climatological data, indicate the overnight low for New York City on September 13, 2026, will settle in the low 70s°F.** Current conditions feature persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90-100%, light variable winds, and widespread rain or thunderstorms, which limit nighttime radiational cooling. Official outlooks list a morning low around 70-72°F, consistent with the market's 95% implied probability for the 70-71°F bin.
This positioning reflects the warm, moist air mass in place rather than typical September climatology (historical average low near 63°F). Model consensus shows little deviation expected before dawn, with any clearing insufficient to drive sharper drops. The market's heavy weighting aligns with real-time observational trends and short-range guidance from agencies like the National Weather Service.
A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly rapid clearing of clouds combined with calm winds and drier air allowing enhanced cooling—conditions not supported by current model runs or surface observations. Updated evening forecasts or station-specific readings could still introduce minor variance within the narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,132วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from multiple sources, including GFS-based models and local climatological data, indicate the overnight low for New York City on September 13, 2026, will settle in the low 70s°F.** Current conditions feature persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90-100%, light variable winds, and widespread rain or thunderstorms, which limit nighttime radiational cooling. Official outlooks list a morning low around 70-72°F, consistent with the market's 95% implied probability for the 70-71°F bin. This positioning reflects the warm, moist air mass in place rather than typical September climatology (historical average low near 63°F). Model consensus shows little deviation expected before dawn, with any clearing insufficient to drive sharper drops. The market's heavy weighting aligns with real-time observational trends and short-range guidance from agencies like the National Weather Service. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly rapid clearing of clouds combined with calm winds and drier air allowing enhanced cooling—conditions not supported by current model runs or surface observations. Updated evening forecasts or station-specific readings could still introduce minor variance within the narrow range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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