Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for August 1, 2026, at LaGuardia Airport has converged on an overnight low near 72°F under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and a stable warm air mass with no significant cold advection. This places the 72–73°F bin at the center of trader consensus (61% implied probability), consistent with typical early-August climatology where Central Park and LaGuardia lows average 68–70°F but are running several degrees above normal this week. The adjacent 70–71°F and 74–75°F outcomes capture residual model spread and minor timing uncertainty in the diurnal minimum, while sub-70°F probabilities remain low given the absence of radiational cooling or frontal passages. Updated evening forecast discussions and real-time observations through the overnight hours will provide the final resolution data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on August 1?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 1?
72-73°F 70%
74-75°F 30%
70-71°F 27%
76-77°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 1, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
61%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 70%
74-75°F 30%
70-71°F 27%
76-77°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 1, 2026
61°F or below
$110 ปริมาณ
<1%
62-63°F
$278 ปริมาณ
<1%
64-65°F
$332 ปริมาณ
<1%
66-67°F
$416 ปริมาณ
1%
68-69°F
$538 ปริมาณ
3%
70-71°F
$198 ปริมาณ
17%
72-73°F
$675 ปริมาณ
61%
74-75°F
$454 ปริมาณ
18%
76-77°F
$84 ปริมาณ
5%
78-79°F
$153 ปริมาณ
<1%
80°F or higher
$58 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for August 1, 2026, at LaGuardia Airport has converged on an overnight low near 72°F under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and a stable warm air mass with no significant cold advection. This places the 72–73°F bin at the center of trader consensus (61% implied probability), consistent with typical early-August climatology where Central Park and LaGuardia lows average 68–70°F but are running several degrees above normal this week. The adjacent 70–71°F and 74–75°F outcomes capture residual model spread and minor timing uncertainty in the diurnal minimum, while sub-70°F probabilities remain low given the absence of radiational cooling or frontal passages. Updated evening forecast discussions and real-time observations through the overnight hours will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 30, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,296วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for August 1, 2026, at LaGuardia Airport has converged on an overnight low near 72°F under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and a stable warm air mass with no significant cold advection. This places the 72–73°F bin at the center of trader consensus (61% implied probability), consistent with typical early-August climatology where Central Park and LaGuardia lows average 68–70°F but are running several degrees above normal this week. The adjacent 70–71°F and 74–75°F outcomes capture residual model spread and minor timing uncertainty in the diurnal minimum, while sub-70°F probabilities remain low given the absence of radiational cooling or frontal passages. Updated evening forecast discussions and real-time observations through the overnight hours will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,296วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for August 1, 2026, at LaGuardia Airport has converged on an overnight low near 72°F under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and a stable warm air mass with no significant cold advection. This places the 72–73°F bin at the center of trader consensus (61% implied probability), consistent with typical early-August climatology where Central Park and LaGuardia lows average 68–70°F but are running several degrees above normal this week. The adjacent 70–71°F and 74–75°F outcomes capture residual model spread and minor timing uncertainty in the diurnal minimum, while sub-70°F probabilities remain low given the absence of radiational cooling or frontal passages. Updated evening forecast discussions and real-time observations through the overnight hours will provide the final resolution data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย