**Official meteorological observations from Mexico City's primary monitoring stations recorded a minimum temperature of 14°C overnight on August 29, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 100% implied probability on that outcome.** Rainfall and cloud cover associated with the ongoing rainy season moderated daytime heating and prevented stronger radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low within the typical 13–15°C range forecast by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Historical climatology for late August supports this narrow band, with average lows near 12–14°C at the city's high elevation. Trader consensus reflects the convergence of real-time station data and model outputs, with only minimal probability assigned to outliers. A later revision from an official source or measurement at a different urban micro-site could theoretically shift resolution, though current verified readings make such adjustments unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 29?
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$1,221 ปริมาณ
$1,221 ปริมาณ
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$1,221 ปริมาณ
$1,221 ปริมาณ
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
$175 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$114 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$69 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$59 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$60 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$137 ปริมาณ
Yes
15°C
$314 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$112 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$84 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$30 ปริมาณ
No
19°C or higher
$67 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official meteorological observations from Mexico City's primary monitoring stations recorded a minimum temperature of 14°C overnight on August 29, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 100% implied probability on that outcome.**
Rainfall and cloud cover associated with the ongoing rainy season moderated daytime heating and prevented stronger radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low within the typical 13–15°C range forecast by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Historical climatology for late August supports this narrow band, with average lows near 12–14°C at the city's high elevation. Trader consensus reflects the convergence of real-time station data and model outputs, with only minimal probability assigned to outliers. A later revision from an official source or measurement at a different urban micro-site could theoretically shift resolution, though current verified readings make such adjustments unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,221วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official meteorological observations from Mexico City's primary monitoring stations recorded a minimum temperature of 14°C overnight on August 29, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 100% implied probability on that outcome.**
Rainfall and cloud cover associated with the ongoing rainy season moderated daytime heating and prevented stronger radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low within the typical 13–15°C range forecast by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Historical climatology for late August supports this narrow band, with average lows near 12–14°C at the city's high elevation. Trader consensus reflects the convergence of real-time station data and model outputs, with only minimal probability assigned to outliers. A later revision from an official source or measurement at a different urban micro-site could theoretically shift resolution, though current verified readings make such adjustments unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,221วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Official meteorological observations from Mexico City's primary monitoring stations recorded a minimum temperature of 14°C overnight on August 29, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 100% implied probability on that outcome.** Rainfall and cloud cover associated with the ongoing rainy season moderated daytime heating and prevented stronger radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low within the typical 13–15°C range forecast by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Historical climatology for late August supports this narrow band, with average lows near 12–14°C at the city's high elevation. Trader consensus reflects the convergence of real-time station data and model outputs, with only minimal probability assigned to outliers. A later revision from an official source or measurement at a different urban micro-site could theoretically shift resolution, though current verified readings make such adjustments unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย