**Jeddah's coastal desert climate in early September typically produces minimum temperatures of 28–30°C, driven by persistent Red Sea warmth, high humidity, and limited nocturnal cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies.** Current forecasts for September 5, 2026, align closely with this baseline, projecting overnight lows near 29–30°C with stable high pressure and light winds. These conditions explain the market's strong 86% implied probability on a 30°C low, while lower thresholds like 27°C or below carry reduced odds reflecting the low historical frequency of cooler anomalies this time of year. Traders appear to weigh official model consensus and seasonal analogs heavily, with minimal recent shifts in atmospheric patterns to alter the outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 5?
30°C 97%
25°C or below 75%
26°C 75%
27°C 71%
25°C or below
75%
26°C
75%
27°C
71%
28°C
3%
29°C
19%
30°C
87%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 97%
25°C or below 75%
26°C 75%
27°C 71%
25°C or below
75%
26°C
75%
27°C
71%
28°C
3%
29°C
19%
30°C
87%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Jeddah's coastal desert climate in early September typically produces minimum temperatures of 28–30°C, driven by persistent Red Sea warmth, high humidity, and limited nocturnal cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies.** Current forecasts for September 5, 2026, align closely with this baseline, projecting overnight lows near 29–30°C with stable high pressure and light winds. These conditions explain the market's strong 86% implied probability on a 30°C low, while lower thresholds like 27°C or below carry reduced odds reflecting the low historical frequency of cooler anomalies this time of year. Traders appear to weigh official model consensus and seasonal analogs heavily, with minimal recent shifts in atmospheric patterns to alter the outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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