Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models indicate light winds and partly cloudy conditions with scattered showers for September 7, supporting overnight lows near 26–27°C at the reference station. Weak pressure gradients limit mixing and advection, while moderate humidity and variable cloud cover moderate radiative cooling compared to clearer nights. The northeast monsoon surge expected after the 10th has not yet influenced local steering or temperatures. These factors keep the 26°C and 27°C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing, with resolution hinging on final observed minimum and any last-minute adjustments to cloud or wind guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
27°C 39%
26°C 38%
28°C 14%
32°C or higher 14%
22°C or below
8%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
11%
26°C
38%
27°C
39%
28°C
14%
29°C
10%
30°C
10%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
14%
27°C 39%
26°C 38%
28°C 14%
32°C or higher 14%
22°C or below
8%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
11%
26°C
38%
27°C
39%
28°C
14%
29°C
10%
30°C
10%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models indicate light winds and partly cloudy conditions with scattered showers for September 7, supporting overnight lows near 26–27°C at the reference station. Weak pressure gradients limit mixing and advection, while moderate humidity and variable cloud cover moderate radiative cooling compared to clearer nights. The northeast monsoon surge expected after the 10th has not yet influenced local steering or temperatures. These factors keep the 26°C and 27°C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing, with resolution hinging on final observed minimum and any last-minute adjustments to cloud or wind guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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