**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models point to a Denver low near 63–64°F on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and dew points in the upper 40s to mid-50s that limit strong radiational cooling.** This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 62–65°F outcomes, while the notable share priced on 57°F or below reflects residual uncertainty from earlier model runs or potential for clearer skies overnight. Historical September 5 averages near 54°F underscore how current warm advection and minimal cloud cover have elevated the floor compared with climatology. Traders are weighting the latest NWS guidance and hourly observations heavily, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight minimum recorded at official stations before sunrise.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Denver on September 5?
70-71°F 50%
57°F or below 34%
62-63°F 32%
64-65°F 31%
57°F or below
34%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
32%
64-65°F
31%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
50%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
17%
76°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 50%
57°F or below 34%
62-63°F 32%
64-65°F 31%
57°F or below
34%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
32%
64-65°F
31%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
50%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
17%
76°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models point to a Denver low near 63–64°F on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and dew points in the upper 40s to mid-50s that limit strong radiational cooling.** This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 62–65°F outcomes, while the notable share priced on 57°F or below reflects residual uncertainty from earlier model runs or potential for clearer skies overnight. Historical September 5 averages near 54°F underscore how current warm advection and minimal cloud cover have elevated the floor compared with climatology. Traders are weighting the latest NWS guidance and hourly observations heavily, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight minimum recorded at official stations before sunrise.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย