The National Weather Service climate summary for Denver on September 4, 2026, recorded an official minimum temperature of 61°F shortly after dawn, aligning precisely with the market’s 95.5% implied probability for the 60-61°F bin. Above-normal warmth prevailed under clear skies and light winds, with the daily high reaching 93°F and dew points remaining low enough to limit overnight cooling below climatological norms of 54°F. Recent model guidance and surface observations showed minimal cold-air advection or radiational cooling potential, reinforcing trader consensus around the observed value. Only an unusually large discrepancy between official reporting stations or a post-event data revision could realistically shift resolution outside this narrow range, an outcome market pricing now treats as negligible given the authoritative measurement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Denver on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Denver on September 4?
60-61°F 96%
56-57°F 28%
55°F or below 3.6%
58-59°F <1%
$3,234 ปริมาณ
$3,234 ปริมาณ
Sep 4, 2026
55°F or below
4%
56-57°F
28%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
96%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
60-61°F 96%
56-57°F 28%
55°F or below 3.6%
58-59°F <1%
$3,234 ปริมาณ
$3,234 ปริมาณ
Sep 4, 2026
55°F or below
$1,648 ปริมาณ
4%
56-57°F
$22 ปริมาณ
28%
58-59°F
$60 ปริมาณ
1%
60-61°F
$416 ปริมาณ
96%
62-63°F
$183 ปริมาณ
<1%
64-65°F
$189 ปริมาณ
<1%
66-67°F
$247 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$145 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$130 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$147 ปริมาณ
<1%
74°F or higher
$47 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The National Weather Service climate summary for Denver on September 4, 2026, recorded an official minimum temperature of 61°F shortly after dawn, aligning precisely with the market’s 95.5% implied probability for the 60-61°F bin. Above-normal warmth prevailed under clear skies and light winds, with the daily high reaching 93°F and dew points remaining low enough to limit overnight cooling below climatological norms of 54°F. Recent model guidance and surface observations showed minimal cold-air advection or radiational cooling potential, reinforcing trader consensus around the observed value. Only an unusually large discrepancy between official reporting stations or a post-event data revision could realistically shift resolution outside this narrow range, an outcome market pricing now treats as negligible given the authoritative measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,234วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The National Weather Service climate summary for Denver on September 4, 2026, recorded an official minimum temperature of 61°F shortly after dawn, aligning precisely with the market’s 95.5% implied probability for the 60-61°F bin. Above-normal warmth prevailed under clear skies and light winds, with the daily high reaching 93°F and dew points remaining low enough to limit overnight cooling below climatological norms of 54°F. Recent model guidance and surface observations showed minimal cold-air advection or radiational cooling potential, reinforcing trader consensus around the observed value. Only an unusually large discrepancy between official reporting stations or a post-event data revision could realistically shift resolution outside this narrow range, an outcome market pricing now treats as negligible given the authoritative measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,234วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service climate summary for Denver on September 4, 2026, recorded an official minimum temperature of 61°F shortly after dawn, aligning precisely with the market’s 95.5% implied probability for the 60-61°F bin. Above-normal warmth prevailed under clear skies and light winds, with the daily high reaching 93°F and dew points remaining low enough to limit overnight cooling below climatological norms of 54°F. Recent model guidance and surface observations showed minimal cold-air advection or radiational cooling potential, reinforcing trader consensus around the observed value. Only an unusually large discrepancy between official reporting stations or a post-event data revision could realistically shift resolution outside this narrow range, an outcome market pricing now treats as negligible given the authoritative measurement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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