**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a daily minimum near 84°F for Dallas on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 52.5% implied probability.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow have maintained overnight lows in the low-to-mid 80s amid a broader heat wave, with recent observations and model runs showing little cooling overnight due to elevated dew points and minimal cloud cover. A potential tropical system threat later in the week has not yet altered steering patterns enough to bring a cooler air mass, keeping higher-temperature bins (86°F+) at lower but still notable odds around 33%. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 75-77°F, but 2026 conditions have run several degrees above average, supporting the current trader consensus backed by real-time forecast consensus. Updated NWS guidance tonight will provide the next key data point for any shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Dallas on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on August 23?
79°F or below 33%
80-81°F 33%
82-83°F 33%
86-87°F 33%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
33%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
53%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
33%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
79°F or below 33%
80-81°F 33%
82-83°F 33%
86-87°F 33%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
80-81°F
$3 ปริมาณ
33%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
84-85°F
$40 ปริมาณ
53%
86-87°F
$3 ปริมาณ
33%
88-89°F
$3 ปริมาณ
33%
90-91°F
$3 ปริมาณ
33%
92-93°F
$145 ปริมาณ
<1%
94-95°F
$142 ปริมาณ
<1%
96-97°F
$488 ปริมาณ
<1%
98°F or higher
$135 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a daily minimum near 84°F for Dallas on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 52.5% implied probability.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow have maintained overnight lows in the low-to-mid 80s amid a broader heat wave, with recent observations and model runs showing little cooling overnight due to elevated dew points and minimal cloud cover. A potential tropical system threat later in the week has not yet altered steering patterns enough to bring a cooler air mass, keeping higher-temperature bins (86°F+) at lower but still notable odds around 33%. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 75-77°F, but 2026 conditions have run several degrees above average, supporting the current trader consensus backed by real-time forecast consensus. Updated NWS guidance tonight will provide the next key data point for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$962วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a daily minimum near 84°F for Dallas on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 52.5% implied probability.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow have maintained overnight lows in the low-to-mid 80s amid a broader heat wave, with recent observations and model runs showing little cooling overnight due to elevated dew points and minimal cloud cover. A potential tropical system threat later in the week has not yet altered steering patterns enough to bring a cooler air mass, keeping higher-temperature bins (86°F+) at lower but still notable odds around 33%. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 75-77°F, but 2026 conditions have run several degrees above average, supporting the current trader consensus backed by real-time forecast consensus. Updated NWS guidance tonight will provide the next key data point for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$962วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a daily minimum near 84°F for Dallas on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 52.5% implied probability.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow have maintained overnight lows in the low-to-mid 80s amid a broader heat wave, with recent observations and model runs showing little cooling overnight due to elevated dew points and minimal cloud cover. A potential tropical system threat later in the week has not yet altered steering patterns enough to bring a cooler air mass, keeping higher-temperature bins (86°F+) at lower but still notable odds around 33%. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 75-77°F, but 2026 conditions have run several degrees above average, supporting the current trader consensus backed by real-time forecast consensus. Updated NWS guidance tonight will provide the next key data point for any shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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