Market-implied odds strongly favor 25°C as Beijing’s lowest temperature on August 23 due to persistent warm, humid air masses and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. Official forecasts from regional monitoring sources consistently project overnight lows stabilizing near 24–25°C, reflecting elevated dew points around 24–26°C and light winds that suppress temperature drops. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average minimums hover near 21°C but current conditions have trended warmer. The outcome could shift only if final official station readings record a brief dip below 25°C from localized clearing or measurement timing, though model consensus shows low likelihood of such cooling before the daily minimum is established.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Beijing on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 23?
25°C 99%
23°C 3%
22°C 1.8%
24°C 2%
$3,511 ปริมาณ
$3,511 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
93%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99%
23°C 3%
22°C 1.8%
24°C 2%
$3,511 ปริมาณ
$3,511 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
$184 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$689 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$277 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$327 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$340 ปริมาณ
3%
24°C
$255 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$369 ปริมาณ
93%
26°C
$222 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$401 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$301 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C or higher
$147 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor 25°C as Beijing’s lowest temperature on August 23 due to persistent warm, humid air masses and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. Official forecasts from regional monitoring sources consistently project overnight lows stabilizing near 24–25°C, reflecting elevated dew points around 24–26°C and light winds that suppress temperature drops. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average minimums hover near 21°C but current conditions have trended warmer. The outcome could shift only if final official station readings record a brief dip below 25°C from localized clearing or measurement timing, though model consensus shows low likelihood of such cooling before the daily minimum is established.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,511วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor 25°C as Beijing’s lowest temperature on August 23 due to persistent warm, humid air masses and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. Official forecasts from regional monitoring sources consistently project overnight lows stabilizing near 24–25°C, reflecting elevated dew points around 24–26°C and light winds that suppress temperature drops. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average minimums hover near 21°C but current conditions have trended warmer. The outcome could shift only if final official station readings record a brief dip below 25°C from localized clearing or measurement timing, though model consensus shows low likelihood of such cooling before the daily minimum is established.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,511วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds strongly favor 25°C as Beijing’s lowest temperature on August 23 due to persistent warm, humid air masses and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. Official forecasts from regional monitoring sources consistently project overnight lows stabilizing near 24–25°C, reflecting elevated dew points around 24–26°C and light winds that suppress temperature drops. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average minimums hover near 21°C but current conditions have trended warmer. The outcome could shift only if final official station readings record a brief dip below 25°C from localized clearing or measurement timing, though model consensus shows low likelihood of such cooling before the daily minimum is established.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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