Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson secured the party's nomination for Idaho's 2nd congressional district in the May 2026 primary with over 63 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November general election. The district's strong Republican lean, anchored in eastern and rural areas with limited Democratic organizational strength, underpins trader consensus on a Republican victory. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as safe or solid for the GOP, consistent with Simpson's prior performance and the absence of competitive polling or significant national spending. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic turnout surge in key counties, though such shifts remain low-probability events given historical patterns in the district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วID-02 House Election Winner
ID-02 House Election Winner
$34,369 ปริมาณ
$34,369 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$34,369 ปริมาณ
$34,369 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$14,241 ปริมาณ
95%
Democratic Party
$20,128 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson secured the party's nomination for Idaho's 2nd congressional district in the May 2026 primary with over 63 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November general election. The district's strong Republican lean, anchored in eastern and rural areas with limited Democratic organizational strength, underpins trader consensus on a Republican victory. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as safe or solid for the GOP, consistent with Simpson's prior performance and the absence of competitive polling or significant national spending. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic turnout surge in key counties, though such shifts remain low-probability events given historical patterns in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,369วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson secured the party's nomination for Idaho's 2nd congressional district in the May 2026 primary with over 63 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November general election. The district's strong Republican lean, anchored in eastern and rural areas with limited Democratic organizational strength, underpins trader consensus on a Republican victory. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as safe or solid for the GOP, consistent with Simpson's prior performance and the absence of competitive polling or significant national spending. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic turnout surge in key counties, though such shifts remain low-probability events given historical patterns in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,369วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson secured the party's nomination for Idaho's 2nd congressional district in the May 2026 primary with over 63 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November general election. The district's strong Republican lean, anchored in eastern and rural areas with limited Democratic organizational strength, underpins trader consensus on a Republican victory. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as safe or solid for the GOP, consistent with Simpson's prior performance and the absence of competitive polling or significant national spending. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic turnout surge in key counties, though such shifts remain low-probability events given historical patterns in the district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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