Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington of 13–15°C on August 26 under prevailing northwesterly flow, with mostly cloudy skies, gusty winds, and a chance of showers developing later. Recent days featured warmer readings, including a 17°C peak on August 23, but a cooling trend has set in ahead of a frontal system. Market-implied odds heavily favor 15–16°C, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical variability around the seasonal average high near 13–14°C for late August. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow brief warming above model consensus, with official MetService and international updates expected to refine the outlook before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
16°C 61%
15°C 34%
17°C 7%
14°C 1.6%
ใหม่
$20,624 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$20,624 ปริมาณ
Aug 26, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
34%
16°C
61%
17°C
7%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 61%
15°C 34%
17°C 7%
14°C 1.6%
ใหม่
$20,624 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$20,624 ปริมาณ
Aug 26, 2026
10°C or below
$1,332 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$289 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$1,333 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$239 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$1,671 ปริมาณ
2%
15°C
$6,099 ปริมาณ
34%
16°C
$3,900 ปริมาณ
61%
17°C
$3,606 ปริมาณ
7%
18°C
$1,636 ปริมาณ
2%
19°C
$252 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C or higher
$269 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington of 13–15°C on August 26 under prevailing northwesterly flow, with mostly cloudy skies, gusty winds, and a chance of showers developing later. Recent days featured warmer readings, including a 17°C peak on August 23, but a cooling trend has set in ahead of a frontal system. Market-implied odds heavily favor 15–16°C, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical variability around the seasonal average high near 13–14°C for late August. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow brief warming above model consensus, with official MetService and international updates expected to refine the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,624วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington of 13–15°C on August 26 under prevailing northwesterly flow, with mostly cloudy skies, gusty winds, and a chance of showers developing later. Recent days featured warmer readings, including a 17°C peak on August 23, but a cooling trend has set in ahead of a frontal system. Market-implied odds heavily favor 15–16°C, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical variability around the seasonal average high near 13–14°C for late August. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow brief warming above model consensus, with official MetService and international updates expected to refine the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,624วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington of 13–15°C on August 26 under prevailing northwesterly flow, with mostly cloudy skies, gusty winds, and a chance of showers developing later. Recent days featured warmer readings, including a 17°C peak on August 23, but a cooling trend has set in ahead of a frontal system. Market-implied odds heavily favor 15–16°C, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical variability around the seasonal average high near 13–14°C for late August. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow brief warming above model consensus, with official MetService and international updates expected to refine the outlook before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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