Current forecast guidance positions 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s daily maximum on August 21, aligning with late-summer climatology where August averages reach 30–31°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. This setup favors clear skies, strong insolation, and light Mediterranean sea breezes that limit daytime mixing while allowing surface heating to peak near or slightly above normal. Recent observations from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm stable anticyclonic conditions with negligible rainfall and temperatures tracking seasonal baselines. Global model ensembles show limited spread for the date, though any late-week shift in steering flow or added moisture could trim the high by 1°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether the market-implied 67.5% consensus on 33°C holds or tilts toward 32–34°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 21?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 21?
33°C 67%
34°C 18%
32°C 15%
35°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
15%
33°C
67%
34°C
18%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 67%
34°C 18%
32°C 15%
35°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
29°C or below
$246 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$346 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$34 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$70 ปริมาณ
15%
33°C
$239 ปริมาณ
67%
34°C
$96 ปริมาณ
18%
35°C
$72 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C
$17 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$24 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$132 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C or higher
$388 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance positions 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s daily maximum on August 21, aligning with late-summer climatology where August averages reach 30–31°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. This setup favors clear skies, strong insolation, and light Mediterranean sea breezes that limit daytime mixing while allowing surface heating to peak near or slightly above normal. Recent observations from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm stable anticyclonic conditions with negligible rainfall and temperatures tracking seasonal baselines. Global model ensembles show limited spread for the date, though any late-week shift in steering flow or added moisture could trim the high by 1°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether the market-implied 67.5% consensus on 33°C holds or tilts toward 32–34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,665วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance positions 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s daily maximum on August 21, aligning with late-summer climatology where August averages reach 30–31°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. This setup favors clear skies, strong insolation, and light Mediterranean sea breezes that limit daytime mixing while allowing surface heating to peak near or slightly above normal. Recent observations from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm stable anticyclonic conditions with negligible rainfall and temperatures tracking seasonal baselines. Global model ensembles show limited spread for the date, though any late-week shift in steering flow or added moisture could trim the high by 1°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether the market-implied 67.5% consensus on 33°C holds or tilts toward 32–34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,665วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance positions 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s daily maximum on August 21, aligning with late-summer climatology where August averages reach 30–31°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. This setup favors clear skies, strong insolation, and light Mediterranean sea breezes that limit daytime mixing while allowing surface heating to peak near or slightly above normal. Recent observations from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm stable anticyclonic conditions with negligible rainfall and temperatures tracking seasonal baselines. Global model ensembles show limited spread for the date, though any late-week shift in steering flow or added moisture could trim the high by 1°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether the market-implied 67.5% consensus on 33°C holds or tilts toward 32–34°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย