**Recent short-range forecasts position 22–23°C as the most likely range for Moscow’s daily maximum temperature on August 21, 2026.** Ensemble guidance and extended outlooks from sources such as timeanddate and regional climate summaries indicate highs near 22–23°C (roughly 72–74°F) under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation. These values align closely with mid-August climatology for Moscow, where average highs typically fall between 21–23°C as seasonal cooling begins after peak summer. Current conditions on August 19 show temperatures in the low 20s°C, consistent with the broader pattern of stable, near-normal late-summer weather rather than any pronounced warm or cool anomaly. Model consensus remains tight around these thresholds, with limited upside potential for 24°C+ or downside risk below 21°C given the absence of strong frontal systems or unusual radiative forcing. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 23°C (49%) and 22°C (33%), reflecting the narrow band of expected outcomes and the resolution criteria tied to official observational maxima. Updated model runs and surface observations through August 20 will provide the final calibration ahead of market settlement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
23°C 49%
22°C 33%
21°C 13%
24°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
13%
22°C
33%
23°C
49%
24°C
11%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
7%
23°C 49%
22°C 33%
21°C 13%
24°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
$593 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$393 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$127 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$20 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$20 ปริมาณ
9%
21°C
$3 ปริมาณ
13%
22°C
$66 ปริมาณ
33%
23°C
$261 ปริมาณ
49%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
26°C or higher
$32 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent short-range forecasts position 22–23°C as the most likely range for Moscow’s daily maximum temperature on August 21, 2026.** Ensemble guidance and extended outlooks from sources such as timeanddate and regional climate summaries indicate highs near 22–23°C (roughly 72–74°F) under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation. These values align closely with mid-August climatology for Moscow, where average highs typically fall between 21–23°C as seasonal cooling begins after peak summer.
Current conditions on August 19 show temperatures in the low 20s°C, consistent with the broader pattern of stable, near-normal late-summer weather rather than any pronounced warm or cool anomaly. Model consensus remains tight around these thresholds, with limited upside potential for 24°C+ or downside risk below 21°C given the absence of strong frontal systems or unusual radiative forcing. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 23°C (49%) and 22°C (33%), reflecting the narrow band of expected outcomes and the resolution criteria tied to official observational maxima. Updated model runs and surface observations through August 20 will provide the final calibration ahead of market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,516วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent short-range forecasts position 22–23°C as the most likely range for Moscow’s daily maximum temperature on August 21, 2026.** Ensemble guidance and extended outlooks from sources such as timeanddate and regional climate summaries indicate highs near 22–23°C (roughly 72–74°F) under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation. These values align closely with mid-August climatology for Moscow, where average highs typically fall between 21–23°C as seasonal cooling begins after peak summer.
Current conditions on August 19 show temperatures in the low 20s°C, consistent with the broader pattern of stable, near-normal late-summer weather rather than any pronounced warm or cool anomaly. Model consensus remains tight around these thresholds, with limited upside potential for 24°C+ or downside risk below 21°C given the absence of strong frontal systems or unusual radiative forcing. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 23°C (49%) and 22°C (33%), reflecting the narrow band of expected outcomes and the resolution criteria tied to official observational maxima. Updated model runs and surface observations through August 20 will provide the final calibration ahead of market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,516วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent short-range forecasts position 22–23°C as the most likely range for Moscow’s daily maximum temperature on August 21, 2026.** Ensemble guidance and extended outlooks from sources such as timeanddate and regional climate summaries indicate highs near 22–23°C (roughly 72–74°F) under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation. These values align closely with mid-August climatology for Moscow, where average highs typically fall between 21–23°C as seasonal cooling begins after peak summer. Current conditions on August 19 show temperatures in the low 20s°C, consistent with the broader pattern of stable, near-normal late-summer weather rather than any pronounced warm or cool anomaly. Model consensus remains tight around these thresholds, with limited upside potential for 24°C+ or downside risk below 21°C given the absence of strong frontal systems or unusual radiative forcing. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 23°C (49%) and 22°C (33%), reflecting the narrow band of expected outcomes and the resolution criteria tied to official observational maxima. Updated model runs and surface observations through August 20 will provide the final calibration ahead of market settlement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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