Recent forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate thundery showers and increased cloud cover over Milan on August 21, moderating daytime maxima into the 23–24°C range and explaining the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Easterly flow and moisture advection are suppressing insolation and promoting convective activity, which historically caps temperatures 3–5°C below clear-sky August norms near 28°C. Key variables include exact timing of storm initiation and boundary-layer mixing, with model spread allowing for 22°C or 25°C resolution depending on precipitation onset. Official Italian meteorological updates and refined short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will further clarify the thermal profile ahead of market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on August 21?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 21?
23°C 37%
24°C 30%
22°C 16%
25°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
16%
23°C
37%
24°C
30%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
4%
23°C 37%
24°C 30%
22°C 16%
25°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
$504 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$504 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$704 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$107 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$34 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$33 ปริมาณ
5%
22°C
$28 ปริมาณ
16%
23°C
$26 ปริมาณ
37%
24°C
$71 ปริมาณ
30%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
26°C or higher
$176 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate thundery showers and increased cloud cover over Milan on August 21, moderating daytime maxima into the 23–24°C range and explaining the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Easterly flow and moisture advection are suppressing insolation and promoting convective activity, which historically caps temperatures 3–5°C below clear-sky August norms near 28°C. Key variables include exact timing of storm initiation and boundary-layer mixing, with model spread allowing for 22°C or 25°C resolution depending on precipitation onset. Official Italian meteorological updates and refined short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will further clarify the thermal profile ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,187วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate thundery showers and increased cloud cover over Milan on August 21, moderating daytime maxima into the 23–24°C range and explaining the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Easterly flow and moisture advection are suppressing insolation and promoting convective activity, which historically caps temperatures 3–5°C below clear-sky August norms near 28°C. Key variables include exact timing of storm initiation and boundary-layer mixing, with model spread allowing for 22°C or 25°C resolution depending on precipitation onset. Official Italian meteorological updates and refined short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will further clarify the thermal profile ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,187วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate thundery showers and increased cloud cover over Milan on August 21, moderating daytime maxima into the 23–24°C range and explaining the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Easterly flow and moisture advection are suppressing insolation and promoting convective activity, which historically caps temperatures 3–5°C below clear-sky August norms near 28°C. Key variables include exact timing of storm initiation and boundary-layer mixing, with model spread allowing for 22°C or 25°C resolution depending on precipitation onset. Official Italian meteorological updates and refined short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will further clarify the thermal profile ahead of market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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