Strong trader consensus around 35°C as Taipei’s peak temperature on August 4 reflects Central Weather Administration forecasts projecting a daytime maximum near that threshold under mostly clear skies, consistent with early-August climatology of 32–34°C highs amid high humidity and urban heat retention. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, with no strong typhoon or frontal influences expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Official observations from prior days, including a 36°C peak on August 1, underscore the narrow window around 35°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon convection, increased cloud cover, or a last-minute forecast revision pushing readings to 36°C, though current guidance assigns this low probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on August 4?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 4?
35°C 94%
36°C 5%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$30,875 ปริมาณ
$30,875 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
94%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 94%
36°C 5%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$30,875 ปริมาณ
$30,875 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
$307 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$433 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$420 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$1,615 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$1,513 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$2,661 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$7,120 ปริมาณ
94%
36°C
$4,173 ปริมาณ
5%
37°C
$5,016 ปริมาณ
1%
38°C
$3,939 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C or higher
$3,677 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong trader consensus around 35°C as Taipei’s peak temperature on August 4 reflects Central Weather Administration forecasts projecting a daytime maximum near that threshold under mostly clear skies, consistent with early-August climatology of 32–34°C highs amid high humidity and urban heat retention. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, with no strong typhoon or frontal influences expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Official observations from prior days, including a 36°C peak on August 1, underscore the narrow window around 35°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon convection, increased cloud cover, or a last-minute forecast revision pushing readings to 36°C, though current guidance assigns this low probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,875วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong trader consensus around 35°C as Taipei’s peak temperature on August 4 reflects Central Weather Administration forecasts projecting a daytime maximum near that threshold under mostly clear skies, consistent with early-August climatology of 32–34°C highs amid high humidity and urban heat retention. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, with no strong typhoon or frontal influences expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Official observations from prior days, including a 36°C peak on August 1, underscore the narrow window around 35°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon convection, increased cloud cover, or a last-minute forecast revision pushing readings to 36°C, though current guidance assigns this low probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,875วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong trader consensus around 35°C as Taipei’s peak temperature on August 4 reflects Central Weather Administration forecasts projecting a daytime maximum near that threshold under mostly clear skies, consistent with early-August climatology of 32–34°C highs amid high humidity and urban heat retention. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, with no strong typhoon or frontal influences expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Official observations from prior days, including a 36°C peak on August 1, underscore the narrow window around 35°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon convection, increased cloud cover, or a last-minute forecast revision pushing readings to 36°C, though current guidance assigns this low probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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