Recent observations of peak temperatures reaching 36°C in Taipei on August 1 and 3, well above the long-term August average high near 32–34°C, have anchored trader sentiment toward the 36°C outcome at 59.5% implied probability. Central Weather Administration forecasts for August 5 project a high of 34°C amid stable subtropical high pressure and typical urban heat retention, yet model variability and the potential for afternoon heating or slight forecast revisions sustain 21.5% odds on 35°C and 14.5% on 37°C. Historical summer patterns show occasional spikes above 35°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting recent data releases and the final official CWA reading most heavily for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on August 5?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 5?
36°C 60%
35°C 22%
37°C 15%
34°C 4%
ใหม่
$17,116 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$17,116 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
22%
36°C
60%
37°C
15%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 60%
35°C 22%
37°C 15%
34°C 4%
ใหม่
$17,116 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$17,116 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
29°C or below
$687 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$389 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$1,904 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$1,569 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$1,333 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C
$939 ปริมาณ
4%
35°C
$2,494 ปริมาณ
22%
36°C
$2,991 ปริมาณ
60%
37°C
$2,186 ปริมาณ
15%
38°C
$557 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C or higher
$2,066 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations of peak temperatures reaching 36°C in Taipei on August 1 and 3, well above the long-term August average high near 32–34°C, have anchored trader sentiment toward the 36°C outcome at 59.5% implied probability. Central Weather Administration forecasts for August 5 project a high of 34°C amid stable subtropical high pressure and typical urban heat retention, yet model variability and the potential for afternoon heating or slight forecast revisions sustain 21.5% odds on 35°C and 14.5% on 37°C. Historical summer patterns show occasional spikes above 35°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting recent data releases and the final official CWA reading most heavily for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,116วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations of peak temperatures reaching 36°C in Taipei on August 1 and 3, well above the long-term August average high near 32–34°C, have anchored trader sentiment toward the 36°C outcome at 59.5% implied probability. Central Weather Administration forecasts for August 5 project a high of 34°C amid stable subtropical high pressure and typical urban heat retention, yet model variability and the potential for afternoon heating or slight forecast revisions sustain 21.5% odds on 35°C and 14.5% on 37°C. Historical summer patterns show occasional spikes above 35°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting recent data releases and the final official CWA reading most heavily for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,116วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observations of peak temperatures reaching 36°C in Taipei on August 1 and 3, well above the long-term August average high near 32–34°C, have anchored trader sentiment toward the 36°C outcome at 59.5% implied probability. Central Weather Administration forecasts for August 5 project a high of 34°C amid stable subtropical high pressure and typical urban heat retention, yet model variability and the potential for afternoon heating or slight forecast revisions sustain 21.5% odds on 35°C and 14.5% on 37°C. Historical summer patterns show occasional spikes above 35°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting recent data releases and the final official CWA reading most heavily for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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