Recent forecasts from authoritative meteorological sources indicate Qingdao will reach a daytime maximum near 31°C on August 23 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and southeasterly monsoon flow across the Shandong Peninsula. Moderate humidity, scattered showers, and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate peak heating, aligning with ensemble model outputs that cluster around this threshold rather than extremes. The market-implied 98% probability for 31°C captures trader assessment of these conditions and historical August climatology for the region, where similar setups frequently produce highs in the low 30s Celsius. A rapid decrease in convective activity or stronger insolation could push readings higher, while heavier or earlier precipitation might cap the maximum below this level.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 23?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 23?
31°C 98%
32°C 3%
33°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
$24,486 ปริมาณ
$24,486 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
98%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 98%
32°C 3%
33°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
$24,486 ปริมาณ
$24,486 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
24°C or below
$259 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$328 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$215 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,170 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$2,867 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$3,576 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$7,026 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$4,000 ปริมาณ
98%
32°C
$2,347 ปริมาณ
3%
33°C
$1,586 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C or higher
$1,447 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from authoritative meteorological sources indicate Qingdao will reach a daytime maximum near 31°C on August 23 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and southeasterly monsoon flow across the Shandong Peninsula. Moderate humidity, scattered showers, and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate peak heating, aligning with ensemble model outputs that cluster around this threshold rather than extremes. The market-implied 98% probability for 31°C captures trader assessment of these conditions and historical August climatology for the region, where similar setups frequently produce highs in the low 30s Celsius. A rapid decrease in convective activity or stronger insolation could push readings higher, while heavier or earlier precipitation might cap the maximum below this level.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,486วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from authoritative meteorological sources indicate Qingdao will reach a daytime maximum near 31°C on August 23 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and southeasterly monsoon flow across the Shandong Peninsula. Moderate humidity, scattered showers, and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate peak heating, aligning with ensemble model outputs that cluster around this threshold rather than extremes. The market-implied 98% probability for 31°C captures trader assessment of these conditions and historical August climatology for the region, where similar setups frequently produce highs in the low 30s Celsius. A rapid decrease in convective activity or stronger insolation could push readings higher, while heavier or earlier precipitation might cap the maximum below this level.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,486วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from authoritative meteorological sources indicate Qingdao will reach a daytime maximum near 31°C on August 23 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and southeasterly monsoon flow across the Shandong Peninsula. Moderate humidity, scattered showers, and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate peak heating, aligning with ensemble model outputs that cluster around this threshold rather than extremes. The market-implied 98% probability for 31°C captures trader assessment of these conditions and historical August climatology for the region, where similar setups frequently produce highs in the low 30s Celsius. A rapid decrease in convective activity or stronger insolation could push readings higher, while heavier or earlier precipitation might cap the maximum below this level.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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