Mexico City's high-elevation subtropical highland climate typically caps August daily maxima near 23–24°C, but current forecast guidance from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a warmer-than-average day on August 4 driven by clear morning skies, light winds, and urban heat retention before afternoon convection develops. Model consensus favors a peak near 26–28°C, with 27°C carrying the strongest implied probability as it aligns with observed recent variability and avoids the cooling effects of widespread showers. Trader positioning reflects this narrow window around seasonal norms, tempered by uncertainty in exact timing of any rain or cloud cover that could suppress the high by 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 4?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 4?
27°C 56%
28°C 23%
26°C 23%
25°C 2.8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
23%
27°C
56%
28°C
23%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
27°C 56%
28°C 23%
26°C 23%
25°C 2.8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
20°C or below
$347 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$427 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$534 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$571 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$805 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$1,473 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$1,126 ปริมาณ
23%
27°C
$2,809 ปริมาณ
56%
28°C
$895 ปริมาณ
23%
29°C
$718 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C or higher
$168 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation subtropical highland climate typically caps August daily maxima near 23–24°C, but current forecast guidance from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a warmer-than-average day on August 4 driven by clear morning skies, light winds, and urban heat retention before afternoon convection develops. Model consensus favors a peak near 26–28°C, with 27°C carrying the strongest implied probability as it aligns with observed recent variability and avoids the cooling effects of widespread showers. Trader positioning reflects this narrow window around seasonal norms, tempered by uncertainty in exact timing of any rain or cloud cover that could suppress the high by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,874วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation subtropical highland climate typically caps August daily maxima near 23–24°C, but current forecast guidance from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a warmer-than-average day on August 4 driven by clear morning skies, light winds, and urban heat retention before afternoon convection develops. Model consensus favors a peak near 26–28°C, with 27°C carrying the strongest implied probability as it aligns with observed recent variability and avoids the cooling effects of widespread showers. Trader positioning reflects this narrow window around seasonal norms, tempered by uncertainty in exact timing of any rain or cloud cover that could suppress the high by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,874วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high-elevation subtropical highland climate typically caps August daily maxima near 23–24°C, but current forecast guidance from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a warmer-than-average day on August 4 driven by clear morning skies, light winds, and urban heat retention before afternoon convection develops. Model consensus favors a peak near 26–28°C, with 27°C carrying the strongest implied probability as it aligns with observed recent variability and avoids the cooling effects of widespread showers. Trader positioning reflects this narrow window around seasonal norms, tempered by uncertainty in exact timing of any rain or cloud cover that could suppress the high by 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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