Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather place Madrid's August 4 high near 33–34 °C under continued high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with limited cooling from Atlantic flow or cloud cover expected through the short-term window, keeping the distribution tightly centered on those values. Historical August climatology in central Spain supports peaks in this range when subtropical air masses dominate, and the absence of significant model shifts in the past 48 hours has anchored trader consensus around the 33–34 °C outcomes. Updated runs ahead of the August 3–4 period will be the next key inputs for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on August 4?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 4?
34°C 55%
33°C 33%
35°C 12%
36°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
33%
34°C
55%
35°C
12%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 55%
33°C 33%
35°C 12%
36°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
$120 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$32 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$20 ปริมาณ
3%
32°C
$120 ปริมาณ
3%
33°C
$612 ปริมาณ
33%
34°C
$402 ปริมาณ
55%
35°C
$327 ปริมาณ
12%
36°C
$163 ปริมาณ
4%
37°C
$142 ปริมาณ
2%
38°C
$65 ปริมาณ
1%
39°C or higher
$357 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather place Madrid's August 4 high near 33–34 °C under continued high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with limited cooling from Atlantic flow or cloud cover expected through the short-term window, keeping the distribution tightly centered on those values. Historical August climatology in central Spain supports peaks in this range when subtropical air masses dominate, and the absence of significant model shifts in the past 48 hours has anchored trader consensus around the 33–34 °C outcomes. Updated runs ahead of the August 3–4 period will be the next key inputs for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,359วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather place Madrid's August 4 high near 33–34 °C under continued high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with limited cooling from Atlantic flow or cloud cover expected through the short-term window, keeping the distribution tightly centered on those values. Historical August climatology in central Spain supports peaks in this range when subtropical air masses dominate, and the absence of significant model shifts in the past 48 hours has anchored trader consensus around the 33–34 °C outcomes. Updated runs ahead of the August 3–4 period will be the next key inputs for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,359วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather place Madrid's August 4 high near 33–34 °C under continued high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with limited cooling from Atlantic flow or cloud cover expected through the short-term window, keeping the distribution tightly centered on those values. Historical August climatology in central Spain supports peaks in this range when subtropical air masses dominate, and the absence of significant model shifts in the past 48 hours has anchored trader consensus around the 33–34 °C outcomes. Updated runs ahead of the August 3–4 period will be the next key inputs for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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