Trader consensus for the Los Angeles daily high on August 4 centers on 76–77°F (55.5% implied probability) because National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer will cap afternoon temperatures near the coast. This setup, typical for early August in the Los Angeles basin, limits warming despite seasonal sunshine, with ensemble runs showing little spread around 75–78°F. Recent observations from Los Angeles International Airport confirm overnight recovery to the mid-60s and light southwesterly winds that reinforce the cool marine influence. With resolution based on the official NWS daily climatological report, traders are weighting the narrow forecast window heavily, while lower-probability bins above 78°F reflect only modest upside risk if the marine layer erodes faster than expected.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 4?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 4?
76-77°F 56%
74-75°F 28%
78-79°F 13%
72-73°F 3.6%
ใหม่
$27,959 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$27,959 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
56%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 56%
74-75°F 28%
78-79°F 13%
72-73°F 3.6%
ใหม่
$27,959 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$27,959 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
69°F or below
$731 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$2,154 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$4,311 ปริมาณ
4%
74-75°F
$6,907 ปริมาณ
28%
76-77°F
$5,194 ปริมาณ
56%
78-79°F
$4,207 ปริมาณ
13%
80-81°F
$3,293 ปริมาณ
1%
82-83°F
$332 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$396 ปริมาณ
<1%
86-87°F
$217 ปริมาณ
<1%
88°F or higher
$217 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for the Los Angeles daily high on August 4 centers on 76–77°F (55.5% implied probability) because National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer will cap afternoon temperatures near the coast. This setup, typical for early August in the Los Angeles basin, limits warming despite seasonal sunshine, with ensemble runs showing little spread around 75–78°F. Recent observations from Los Angeles International Airport confirm overnight recovery to the mid-60s and light southwesterly winds that reinforce the cool marine influence. With resolution based on the official NWS daily climatological report, traders are weighting the narrow forecast window heavily, while lower-probability bins above 78°F reflect only modest upside risk if the marine layer erodes faster than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,959วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for the Los Angeles daily high on August 4 centers on 76–77°F (55.5% implied probability) because National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer will cap afternoon temperatures near the coast. This setup, typical for early August in the Los Angeles basin, limits warming despite seasonal sunshine, with ensemble runs showing little spread around 75–78°F. Recent observations from Los Angeles International Airport confirm overnight recovery to the mid-60s and light southwesterly winds that reinforce the cool marine influence. With resolution based on the official NWS daily climatological report, traders are weighting the narrow forecast window heavily, while lower-probability bins above 78°F reflect only modest upside risk if the marine layer erodes faster than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,959วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for the Los Angeles daily high on August 4 centers on 76–77°F (55.5% implied probability) because National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer will cap afternoon temperatures near the coast. This setup, typical for early August in the Los Angeles basin, limits warming despite seasonal sunshine, with ensemble runs showing little spread around 75–78°F. Recent observations from Los Angeles International Airport confirm overnight recovery to the mid-60s and light southwesterly winds that reinforce the cool marine influence. With resolution based on the official NWS daily climatological report, traders are weighting the narrow forecast window heavily, while lower-probability bins above 78°F reflect only modest upside risk if the marine layer erodes faster than expected.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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