Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco temperatures near seasonal norms of 68–74 °F on August 4, 2026, supporting the market’s heaviest volume around the 72–77 °F bins. Latest National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a modest thermal ridge allowing daytime highs to reach the mid-70s at downtown and airport stations before the sea breeze strengthens, while any stronger high-pressure subsidence or delayed marine intrusion could push readings into the upper 70s. Conversely, deeper fog or enhanced westerly winds would cap the peak closer to 70–72 °F. Resolution hinges on the official highest reading at San Francisco International Airport, with final certainty arriving only after the day’s maximum is recorded and verified.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 4?
74-75°F 33%
72-73°F 21%
76-77°F 21%
78-79°F 13%
$16,801 ปริมาณ
$16,801 ปริมาณ
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 33%
72-73°F 21%
76-77°F 21%
78-79°F 13%
$16,801 ปริมาณ
$16,801 ปริมาณ
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco temperatures near seasonal norms of 68–74 °F on August 4, 2026, supporting the market’s heaviest volume around the 72–77 °F bins. Latest National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a modest thermal ridge allowing daytime highs to reach the mid-70s at downtown and airport stations before the sea breeze strengthens, while any stronger high-pressure subsidence or delayed marine intrusion could push readings into the upper 70s. Conversely, deeper fog or enhanced westerly winds would cap the peak closer to 70–72 °F. Resolution hinges on the official highest reading at San Francisco International Airport, with final certainty arriving only after the day’s maximum is recorded and verified.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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