**Current forecasts for Busan on September 5, 2026, show daytime highs centered on 27–29°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds of 15–20 mph (24–32 km/h) and low precipitation chances.** Official and model guidance from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and numerical forecasts consistently point to a maximum near or slightly above the seasonal average of ~27°C, with several runs reaching 28–29°C (roughly 82–84°F) by afternoon before cooling overnight. Northeast flow off the ocean is suppressing stronger warming, yet sufficient insolation and limited cloud cover support the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (73.5% implied probability). The smaller 30°C share (26.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in peak timing or minor model spread, while probabilities for 31°C+ or below 28°C remain negligible given observed trends and the absence of extreme heat or cooling signals. Real-time station data showing temperatures climbing through the mid-20s°C midday further anchors trader consensus around these two outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Busan on September 5?
29°C 92%
30°C 9%
31°C 1.0%
32°C or higher <1%
$23,868 ปริมาณ
$23,868 ปริมาณ
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
92%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 92%
30°C 9%
31°C 1.0%
32°C or higher <1%
$23,868 ปริมาณ
$23,868 ปริมาณ
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
92%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Busan on September 5, 2026, show daytime highs centered on 27–29°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds of 15–20 mph (24–32 km/h) and low precipitation chances.** Official and model guidance from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and numerical forecasts consistently point to a maximum near or slightly above the seasonal average of ~27°C, with several runs reaching 28–29°C (roughly 82–84°F) by afternoon before cooling overnight. Northeast flow off the ocean is suppressing stronger warming, yet sufficient insolation and limited cloud cover support the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (73.5% implied probability). The smaller 30°C share (26.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in peak timing or minor model spread, while probabilities for 31°C+ or below 28°C remain negligible given observed trends and the absence of extreme heat or cooling signals. Real-time station data showing temperatures climbing through the mid-20s°C midday further anchors trader consensus around these two outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย