A persistent polar air mass over central Argentina continues to suppress daytime warming in Buenos Aires on August 23, 2026, keeping the daily maximum near 13°C according to Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and multiple model runs. Light southeast winds, high pressure, and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies limit boundary-layer mixing and advection of milder air, consistent with minima near 4°C earlier in the period. This setup aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 13°C (55.5% implied probability) while allowing modest probability for 12°C or 14°C depending on exact peak timing and any late-day clearing. Historical August averages near 17–18°C highlight the anomaly, but no rapid warming is expected before the air mass begins to modify after the weekend.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 23?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 23?
13°C 56%
12°C 28%
14°C 14%
11°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
28%
13°C
56%
14°C
14%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 56%
12°C 28%
14°C 14%
11°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
$334 ปริมาณ
1%
9°C
$596 ปริมาณ
1%
10°C
$283 ปริมาณ
1%
11°C
$386 ปริมาณ
4%
12°C
$1,173 ปริมาณ
28%
13°C
$1,488 ปริมาณ
56%
14°C
$1,108 ปริมาณ
14%
15°C
$682 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$276 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$279 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C or higher
$877 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent polar air mass over central Argentina continues to suppress daytime warming in Buenos Aires on August 23, 2026, keeping the daily maximum near 13°C according to Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and multiple model runs. Light southeast winds, high pressure, and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies limit boundary-layer mixing and advection of milder air, consistent with minima near 4°C earlier in the period. This setup aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 13°C (55.5% implied probability) while allowing modest probability for 12°C or 14°C depending on exact peak timing and any late-day clearing. Historical August averages near 17–18°C highlight the anomaly, but no rapid warming is expected before the air mass begins to modify after the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,482วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent polar air mass over central Argentina continues to suppress daytime warming in Buenos Aires on August 23, 2026, keeping the daily maximum near 13°C according to Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and multiple model runs. Light southeast winds, high pressure, and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies limit boundary-layer mixing and advection of milder air, consistent with minima near 4°C earlier in the period. This setup aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 13°C (55.5% implied probability) while allowing modest probability for 12°C or 14°C depending on exact peak timing and any late-day clearing. Historical August averages near 17–18°C highlight the anomaly, but no rapid warming is expected before the air mass begins to modify after the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,482วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...A persistent polar air mass over central Argentina continues to suppress daytime warming in Buenos Aires on August 23, 2026, keeping the daily maximum near 13°C according to Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and multiple model runs. Light southeast winds, high pressure, and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies limit boundary-layer mixing and advection of milder air, consistent with minima near 4°C earlier in the period. This setup aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 13°C (55.5% implied probability) while allowing modest probability for 12°C or 14°C depending on exact peak timing and any late-day clearing. Historical August averages near 17–18°C highlight the anomaly, but no rapid warming is expected before the air mass begins to modify after the weekend.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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