Early-stage candidate selection processes and fragmented polling keep trader probabilities distributed across multiple aspirants for the June 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial election. Morena holds a consistent lead in statewide voter intention surveys at roughly 40 percent, yet its internal preferences remain fluid among figures such as Manuel Cota Cárdenas, Milena Quiroga Romero, and Christian Agúndez Gómez, with surveys from mid-2026 showing shifting margins and elevated undecided shares. Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias leads PAN preferences after registering his bid, while smaller parties trail. High indecision and the absence of finalized nominees prevent any single contender from consolidating implied probability ahead of primary resolutions and the general contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFrancisco Pelayo Covarrubias 31%
Manuel Cota Cárdenas 22.4%
Christian Agúndez Gómez 20%
Milena Quiroga Romero 13%
$14,985 ปริมาณ
$14,985 ปริมาณ
Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias
31%
Manuel Cota Cárdenas
22%
Christian Agúndez Gómez
20%
Milena Quiroga Romero
13%
José Rigoberto Mares Aguilar
9%
Juan Alberto Valdivia Alvarado
6%
Edith Aguilar Villavicencio
5%
Antonio Manríquez
5%
Roxana Higuera
4%
José Saúl González Núñez
4%
Diana Von Borstel Luna
2%
Jesús Alberto Alvarado Aragón
2%
Susana Zataraín García
1%
Ricardo Barroso Agramont
1%
Fabricio del Castillo
<1%
Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros
<1%
Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias 31%
Manuel Cota Cárdenas 22.4%
Christian Agúndez Gómez 20%
Milena Quiroga Romero 13%
$14,985 ปริมาณ
$14,985 ปริมาณ
Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias
31%
Manuel Cota Cárdenas
22%
Christian Agúndez Gómez
20%
Milena Quiroga Romero
13%
José Rigoberto Mares Aguilar
9%
Juan Alberto Valdivia Alvarado
6%
Edith Aguilar Villavicencio
5%
Antonio Manríquez
5%
Roxana Higuera
4%
José Saúl González Núñez
4%
Diana Von Borstel Luna
2%
Jesús Alberto Alvarado Aragón
2%
Susana Zataraín García
1%
Ricardo Barroso Agramont
1%
Fabricio del Castillo
<1%
Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 7:18 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Early-stage candidate selection processes and fragmented polling keep trader probabilities distributed across multiple aspirants for the June 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial election. Morena holds a consistent lead in statewide voter intention surveys at roughly 40 percent, yet its internal preferences remain fluid among figures such as Manuel Cota Cárdenas, Milena Quiroga Romero, and Christian Agúndez Gómez, with surveys from mid-2026 showing shifting margins and elevated undecided shares. Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias leads PAN preferences after registering his bid, while smaller parties trail. High indecision and the absence of finalized nominees prevent any single contender from consolidating implied probability ahead of primary resolutions and the general contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย