The constitutional amendment process required to repeal presidential term limits imposes steep barriers, including two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification by three-fourths of the states, a threshold rarely met on divisive structural changes. Trader consensus at 96.8% for no repeal aligns with these procedural demands and the absence of coordinated legislative momentum or state-level support in 2026. Historical precedent shows term-limit proposals typically stall amid divided government or competing priorities. Realistic shifts could still emerge from an unusually unified congressional session, major realignment in state legislatures, or unforeseen crisis-driven momentum, though such paths remain narrow given current institutional checks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
3% вероятность
$13,141 Объем
$13,141 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
3% вероятность
$13,141 Объем
$13,141 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The constitutional amendment process required to repeal presidential term limits imposes steep barriers, including two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification by three-fourths of the states, a threshold rarely met on divisive structural changes. Trader consensus at 96.8% for no repeal aligns with these procedural demands and the absence of coordinated legislative momentum or state-level support in 2026. Historical precedent shows term-limit proposals typically stall amid divided government or competing priorities. Realistic shifts could still emerge from an unusually unified congressional session, major realignment in state legislatures, or unforeseen crisis-driven momentum, though such paths remain narrow given current institutional checks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Открытие рынка: Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Объем
$13,141Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The constitutional amendment process required to repeal presidential term limits imposes steep barriers, including two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification by three-fourths of the states, a threshold rarely met on divisive structural changes. Trader consensus at 96.8% for no repeal aligns with these procedural demands and the absence of coordinated legislative momentum or state-level support in 2026. Historical precedent shows term-limit proposals typically stall amid divided government or competing priorities. Realistic shifts could still emerge from an unusually unified congressional session, major realignment in state legislatures, or unforeseen crisis-driven momentum, though such paths remain narrow given current institutional checks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Объем
$13,141Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The constitutional amendment process required to repeal presidential term limits imposes steep barriers, including two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification by three-fourths of the states, a threshold rarely met on divisive structural changes. Trader consensus at 96.8% for no repeal aligns with these procedural demands and the absence of coordinated legislative momentum or state-level support in 2026. Historical precedent shows term-limit proposals typically stall amid divided government or competing priorities. Realistic shifts could still emerge from an unusually unified congressional session, major realignment in state legislatures, or unforeseen crisis-driven momentum, though such paths remain narrow given current institutional checks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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