Democrats have introduced multiple impeachment resolutions against President Trump in 2025 and 2026, citing actions related to the Iran conflict, executive orders, and alleged abuses of power. Public polling shows consistent majorities of Americans, including independents, viewing grounds for impeachment as present. Trump has publicly warned that Republican losses in the November 2026 midterms would likely trigger House proceedings under Democratic control. Prediction markets reflect these dynamics, with traders assigning a 62% implied probability to impeachment before the term concludes in 2029, driven by the institutional threshold of House passage and historical patterns of partisan investigations. Key catalysts include midterm outcomes and any further escalations that could broaden bipartisan support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудет ли Трамп подвергнут импичменту до истечения срока его полномочий?
Будет ли Трамп подвергнут импичменту до истечения срока его полномочий?
Да
62% вероятность
$89,652 Объем
$89,652 Объем
20 янв. 2029 г.
Да
62% вероятность
$89,652 Объем
$89,652 Объем
20 янв. 2029 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats have introduced multiple impeachment resolutions against President Trump in 2025 and 2026, citing actions related to the Iran conflict, executive orders, and alleged abuses of power. Public polling shows consistent majorities of Americans, including independents, viewing grounds for impeachment as present. Trump has publicly warned that Republican losses in the November 2026 midterms would likely trigger House proceedings under Democratic control. Prediction markets reflect these dynamics, with traders assigning a 62% implied probability to impeachment before the term concludes in 2029, driven by the institutional threshold of House passage and historical patterns of partisan investigations. Key catalysts include midterm outcomes and any further escalations that could broaden bipartisan support.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Объем
$89,652Дата окончания
20 янв. 2029 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats have introduced multiple impeachment resolutions against President Trump in 2025 and 2026, citing actions related to the Iran conflict, executive orders, and alleged abuses of power. Public polling shows consistent majorities of Americans, including independents, viewing grounds for impeachment as present. Trump has publicly warned that Republican losses in the November 2026 midterms would likely trigger House proceedings under Democratic control. Prediction markets reflect these dynamics, with traders assigning a 62% implied probability to impeachment before the term concludes in 2029, driven by the institutional threshold of House passage and historical patterns of partisan investigations. Key catalysts include midterm outcomes and any further escalations that could broaden bipartisan support.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Объем
$89,652Дата окончания
20 янв. 2029 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democrats have introduced multiple impeachment resolutions against President Trump in 2025 and 2026, citing actions related to the Iran conflict, executive orders, and alleged abuses of power. Public polling shows consistent majorities of Americans, including independents, viewing grounds for impeachment as present. Trump has publicly warned that Republican losses in the November 2026 midterms would likely trigger House proceedings under Democratic control. Prediction markets reflect these dynamics, with traders assigning a 62% implied probability to impeachment before the term concludes in 2029, driven by the institutional threshold of House passage and historical patterns of partisan investigations. Key catalysts include midterm outcomes and any further escalations that could broaden bipartisan support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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