Kristi Noem, who left the South Dakota governorship after 2025 to serve as Secretary of Homeland Security, faces Democratic-led articles of impeachment introduced in the House in mid-January 2026. Sponsors cite obstruction of Congress, public-trust violations, and disputes over immigration enforcement actions plus FEMA fund allocation as grounds. The effort remains almost entirely partisan, with roughly 120 Democratic co-sponsors and no Republican backing reported. In a Congress controlled by the president’s party, House passage is improbable and Senate conviction even less likely. Historical precedent shows successful removal of cabinet officers is rare absent bipartisan consensus or overwhelming evidence. These structural and political barriers underpin traders’ strong expectation that impeachment will not occur by year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКристи Ноем объявили импичмент в 2026 году?
Кристи Ноем объявили импичмент в 2026 году?
Да
8% вероятность
$20,175 Объем
$20,175 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
8% вероятность
$20,175 Объем
$20,175 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Kristi Noem, who left the South Dakota governorship after 2025 to serve as Secretary of Homeland Security, faces Democratic-led articles of impeachment introduced in the House in mid-January 2026. Sponsors cite obstruction of Congress, public-trust violations, and disputes over immigration enforcement actions plus FEMA fund allocation as grounds. The effort remains almost entirely partisan, with roughly 120 Democratic co-sponsors and no Republican backing reported. In a Congress controlled by the president’s party, House passage is improbable and Senate conviction even less likely. Historical precedent shows successful removal of cabinet officers is rare absent bipartisan consensus or overwhelming evidence. These structural and political barriers underpin traders’ strong expectation that impeachment will not occur by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
Объем
$20,175Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Kristi Noem, who left the South Dakota governorship after 2025 to serve as Secretary of Homeland Security, faces Democratic-led articles of impeachment introduced in the House in mid-January 2026. Sponsors cite obstruction of Congress, public-trust violations, and disputes over immigration enforcement actions plus FEMA fund allocation as grounds. The effort remains almost entirely partisan, with roughly 120 Democratic co-sponsors and no Republican backing reported. In a Congress controlled by the president’s party, House passage is improbable and Senate conviction even less likely. Historical precedent shows successful removal of cabinet officers is rare absent bipartisan consensus or overwhelming evidence. These structural and political barriers underpin traders’ strong expectation that impeachment will not occur by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Объем
$20,175Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kristi Noem, who left the South Dakota governorship after 2025 to serve as Secretary of Homeland Security, faces Democratic-led articles of impeachment introduced in the House in mid-January 2026. Sponsors cite obstruction of Congress, public-trust violations, and disputes over immigration enforcement actions plus FEMA fund allocation as grounds. The effort remains almost entirely partisan, with roughly 120 Democratic co-sponsors and no Republican backing reported. In a Congress controlled by the president’s party, House passage is improbable and Senate conviction even less likely. Historical precedent shows successful removal of cabinet officers is rare absent bipartisan consensus or overwhelming evidence. These structural and political barriers underpin traders’ strong expectation that impeachment will not occur by year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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