Trump's established Truth Social activity, averaging 18-20 posts daily across 2025 and 2026 with occasional spikes exceeding 100 in a single day, anchors trader expectations near the middle ranges for the August 21-28 window. High day-to-day variance driven by news cycles, late-night sessions, and policy or campaign developments sustains the tight spread among bins from 140-159 through 200+, as markets price in both routine volume and potential surges. Platform traffic declines this summer and the launch of premium early-access feeds have not altered his output pace, keeping implied probabilities clustered without clear separation. Scheduled events or breaking developments in the coming week could shift volume notably higher or lower.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено200+ 24%
140-159 20%
180-199 16%
160-179 15%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
2%
60-79
3%
80-99
2%
100-119
14%
120-139
14%
140-159
20%
160-179
15%
180-199
16%
200+
24%
200+ 24%
140-159 20%
180-199 16%
160-179 15%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
2%
60-79
3%
80-99
2%
100-119
14%
120-139
14%
140-159
20%
160-179
15%
180-199
16%
200+
24%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's established Truth Social activity, averaging 18-20 posts daily across 2025 and 2026 with occasional spikes exceeding 100 in a single day, anchors trader expectations near the middle ranges for the August 21-28 window. High day-to-day variance driven by news cycles, late-night sessions, and policy or campaign developments sustains the tight spread among bins from 140-159 through 200+, as markets price in both routine volume and potential surges. Platform traffic declines this summer and the launch of premium early-access feeds have not altered his output pace, keeping implied probabilities clustered without clear separation. Scheduled events or breaking developments in the coming week could shift volume notably higher or lower.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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