US-Iran diplomacy remains focused on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day window for technical talks on sanctions relief, nuclear restrictions, ballistic missiles, and freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. Progress has stalled amid renewed tensions, with both sides exchanging messages through intermediaries rather than holding direct high-level meetings, while mediators including Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman facilitate indirect contacts and separate Iran-Oman discussions on Hormuz routing. Recent developments include conflicting claims over strait control, US naval pressure, and Iranian conditions tying any reopening to broader concessions. No formal face-to-face rounds have occurred since Swiss technical sessions in late June, leaving open the possibility of renewed envoy-level or multilateral engagement before year-end depending on de-escalation steps.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$28,593 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Джаред Кушнер
72%
Стив Виткофф
73%
Аббас Аракчи
64%
Мохаммад Багер Калибаф
63%
Джей Ди Ванс
56%
Маджид Тахт-Раванчи
37%
Мохаммед бин Абдулрахман Аль Тани
22%
Казем Гharibabadi
19%
Рафаэль Гросси
23%
Марко Рубио
23%
Ник Стюарт
19%
Ахмад Вахиди
16%
Бадр бин Хамад Аль-Бусаиди
16%
Ишак Дар
14%
Дональд Трамп
12%
Пит Хегсет
6%
Моджтаба Хаменеи
5%
Эсмаил Каани
1%
Масуд Пезешкиан
44%
$28,593 Объем
Джаред Кушнер
$230 Объем
72%
Стив Виткофф
$427 Объем
73%
Аббас Аракчи
$411 Объем
64%
Мохаммад Багер Калибаф
$80 Объем
63%
Джей Ди Ванс
$584 Объем
56%
Маджид Тахт-Раванчи
$20 Объем
37%
Мохаммед бин Абдулрахман Аль Тани
$998 Объем
22%
Казем Гharibabadi
$885 Объем
19%
Рафаэль Гросси
$44 Объем
23%
Марко Рубио
$40 Объем
23%
Ник Стюарт
$60 Объем
19%
Ахмад Вахиди
$25 Объем
16%
Бадр бин Хамад Аль-Бусаиди
$939 Объем
16%
Ишак Дар
$932 Объем
14%
Дональд Трамп
$59 Объем
12%
Пит Хегсет
$2,478 Объем
6%
Моджтаба Хаменеи
$19,111 Объем
5%
Эсмаил Каани
$1,231 Объем
1%
Масуд Пезешкиан
$40 Объем
44%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains focused on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day window for technical talks on sanctions relief, nuclear restrictions, ballistic missiles, and freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. Progress has stalled amid renewed tensions, with both sides exchanging messages through intermediaries rather than holding direct high-level meetings, while mediators including Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman facilitate indirect contacts and separate Iran-Oman discussions on Hormuz routing. Recent developments include conflicting claims over strait control, US naval pressure, and Iranian conditions tying any reopening to broader concessions. No formal face-to-face rounds have occurred since Swiss technical sessions in late June, leaving open the possibility of renewed envoy-level or multilateral engagement before year-end depending on de-escalation steps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Объем
$28,593Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains focused on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day window for technical talks on sanctions relief, nuclear restrictions, ballistic missiles, and freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. Progress has stalled amid renewed tensions, with both sides exchanging messages through intermediaries rather than holding direct high-level meetings, while mediators including Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman facilitate indirect contacts and separate Iran-Oman discussions on Hormuz routing. Recent developments include conflicting claims over strait control, US naval pressure, and Iranian conditions tying any reopening to broader concessions. No formal face-to-face rounds have occurred since Swiss technical sessions in late June, leaving open the possibility of renewed envoy-level or multilateral engagement before year-end depending on de-escalation steps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$28,593Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains focused on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day window for technical talks on sanctions relief, nuclear restrictions, ballistic missiles, and freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. Progress has stalled amid renewed tensions, with both sides exchanging messages through intermediaries rather than holding direct high-level meetings, while mediators including Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman facilitate indirect contacts and separate Iran-Oman discussions on Hormuz routing. Recent developments include conflicting claims over strait control, US naval pressure, and Iranian conditions tying any reopening to broader concessions. No formal face-to-face rounds have occurred since Swiss technical sessions in late June, leaving open the possibility of renewed envoy-level or multilateral engagement before year-end depending on de-escalation steps.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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