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icon for Мэр Нью-Йорка # Posts 21 августа - 28 августа 2026 года?

Мэр Нью-Йорка # Posts 21 августа - 28 августа 2026 года?

icon for Мэр Нью-Йорка # Posts 21 августа - 28 августа 2026 года?

Мэр Нью-Йорка # Posts 21 августа - 28 августа 2026 года?

20-39 49%

80-99 49%

100-119 49%

120-139 49%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

20-39 49%

80-99 49%

100-119 49%

120-139 49%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<20

$55 Объем

12%

20-39

$73 Объем

49%

40-59

$79 Объем

33%

60-79

$98 Объем

11%

80-99

$5 Объем

49%

100-119

$5 Объем

49%

120-139

$5 Объем

49%

140-159

$5 Объем

49%

160-179

$5 Объем

49%

180-199

$5 Объем

49%

200+

$5 Объем

49%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani, who took office as NYC mayor in January 2026 following his 2025 election victory, maintains an active official @NYCMayor X account focused on policy updates, event promotions, and responses to city incidents.** Recent activity in mid-August 2026 included multiple daily posts on small-business grants, free Broadway tickets for students, transportation initiatives, and a police-involved incident on the Lower East Side. These patterns align with the market's leading 20-39 post range at 49% implied probability and the 40-59 bucket at 32.5%, reflecting typical weekly output absent major escalations or breaks. No scheduled events or announcements for the specific August 21-28 window appear poised to drive unusually high volume, though routine administrative and public-safety communications could sustain mid-range totals. Traders' consensus pricing incorporates this baseline cadence alongside the possibility of reactive or promotional spikes common in the role.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$340
Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani, who took office as NYC mayor in January 2026 following his 2025 election victory, maintains an active official @NYCMayor X account focused on policy updates, event promotions, and responses to city incidents.** Recent activity in mid-August 2026 included multiple daily posts on small-business grants, free Broadway tickets for students, transportation initiatives, and a police-involved incident on the Lower East Side. These patterns align with the market's leading 20-39 post range at 49% implied probability and the 40-59 bucket at 32.5%, reflecting typical weekly output absent major escalations or breaks. No scheduled events or announcements for the specific August 21-28 window appear poised to drive unusually high volume, though routine administrative and public-safety communications could sustain mid-range totals. Traders' consensus pricing incorporates this baseline cadence alongside the possibility of reactive or promotional spikes common in the role.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$340
Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Мэр Нью-Йорка # Posts 21 августа - 28 августа 2026 года?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «20-39» с 49%, за ним следует «40-59» с 33%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 49¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Мэр Нью-Йорка # Posts 21 августа - 28 августа 2026 года?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 18, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Мэр Нью-Йорка # Posts 21 августа - 28 августа 2026 года?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Мэр Нью-Йорка # Posts 21 августа - 28 августа 2026 года?» — «20-39» с 49%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Следующий ближайший исход — «40-59» с 33%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Мэр Нью-Йорка # Posts 21 августа - 28 августа 2026 года?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.