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icon for Мэр Нью-Йорка # размещает сообщения с 18 по 25 августа 2026 года?

Мэр Нью-Йорка # размещает сообщения с 18 по 25 августа 2026 года?

icon for Мэр Нью-Йорка # размещает сообщения с 18 по 25 августа 2026 года?

Мэр Нью-Йорка # размещает сообщения с 18 по 25 августа 2026 года?

20-39 47%

40-59 32%

60-79 10.5%

<20 3.1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

20-39 47%

40-59 32%

60-79 10.5%

<20 3.1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<20

$38 Объем

3%

20-39

$2,199 Объем

47%

40-59

$55 Объем

32%

60-79

$549 Объем

10%

80-99

$33 Объем

1%

100-119

$18 Объем

1%

120-139

$33 Объем

1%

140-159

$33 Объем

1%

160-179

$33 Объем

1%

180-199

$33 Объем

1%

200+

$125 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani, who assumed office as NYC mayor on January 1, 2026, maintains an active official presence on the @NYCMayor X account focused on policy announcements, community events, and responses to local incidents.** Recent activity shows multiple daily posts covering topics such as free Broadway tickets for students, neighborhood safety initiatives in areas like Brownsville, condolences for public servants, and statements on public safety following events like the Central Synagogue incident. With no major elections, crises, or holidays falling in the August 18-25 window, trader consensus around 20-39 posts (45% implied probability) and 40-59 posts (31.5%) reflects expectations of steady but not elevated output typical of routine mayoral communications. Higher volumes remain low-probability absent unexpected developments that would prompt additional official statements.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$3,129
Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani, who assumed office as NYC mayor on January 1, 2026, maintains an active official presence on the @NYCMayor X account focused on policy announcements, community events, and responses to local incidents.** Recent activity shows multiple daily posts covering topics such as free Broadway tickets for students, neighborhood safety initiatives in areas like Brownsville, condolences for public servants, and statements on public safety following events like the Central Synagogue incident. With no major elections, crises, or holidays falling in the August 18-25 window, trader consensus around 20-39 posts (45% implied probability) and 40-59 posts (31.5%) reflects expectations of steady but not elevated output typical of routine mayoral communications. Higher volumes remain low-probability absent unexpected developments that would prompt additional official statements.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$3,129
Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Мэр Нью-Йорка # размещает сообщения с 18 по 25 августа 2026 года?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «20-39» с 47%, за ним следует «40-59» с 32%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 47¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 47%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Мэр Нью-Йорка # размещает сообщения с 18 по 25 августа 2026 года?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 15, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Мэр Нью-Йорка # размещает сообщения с 18 по 25 августа 2026 года?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Мэр Нью-Йорка # размещает сообщения с 18 по 25 августа 2026 года?» — «20-39» с 47%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 47%. Следующий ближайший исход — «40-59» с 32%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Мэр Нью-Йорка # размещает сообщения с 18 по 25 августа 2026 года?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.