**Zohran Mamdani, who assumed office as NYC mayor on January 1, 2026, maintains an active official presence on the @NYCMayor X account focused on policy announcements, community events, and responses to local incidents.** Recent activity shows multiple daily posts covering topics such as free Broadway tickets for students, neighborhood safety initiatives in areas like Brownsville, condolences for public servants, and statements on public safety following events like the Central Synagogue incident. With no major elections, crises, or holidays falling in the August 18-25 window, trader consensus around 20-39 posts (45% implied probability) and 40-59 posts (31.5%) reflects expectations of steady but not elevated output typical of routine mayoral communications. Higher volumes remain low-probability absent unexpected developments that would prompt additional official statements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМэр Нью-Йорка # размещает сообщения с 18 по 25 августа 2026 года?
20-39 47%
40-59 32%
60-79 10.5%
<20 3.1%
<20
3%
20-39
47%
40-59
32%
60-79
10%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
1%
200+
<1%
20-39 47%
40-59 32%
60-79 10.5%
<20 3.1%
<20
3%
20-39
47%
40-59
32%
60-79
10%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
1%
200+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Zohran Mamdani, who assumed office as NYC mayor on January 1, 2026, maintains an active official presence on the @NYCMayor X account focused on policy announcements, community events, and responses to local incidents.** Recent activity shows multiple daily posts covering topics such as free Broadway tickets for students, neighborhood safety initiatives in areas like Brownsville, condolences for public servants, and statements on public safety following events like the Central Synagogue incident. With no major elections, crises, or holidays falling in the August 18-25 window, trader consensus around 20-39 posts (45% implied probability) and 40-59 posts (31.5%) reflects expectations of steady but not elevated output typical of routine mayoral communications. Higher volumes remain low-probability absent unexpected developments that would prompt additional official statements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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