Trader consensus positions the 40-64 tweet range as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s X activity August 20-22, driven by his established daily posting rhythm of roughly 15-20 updates amid routine business commentary and platform engagement. Recent weeks show consistent volume without major spikes from Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or high-profile controversies, keeping the moderate band ahead of lower totals. The three-day window sits near typical mid-week patterns, though any sudden news cycle involving xAI developments or regulatory headlines could push activity higher in the closing days. Market-implied odds reflect traders’ assessment of steady rather than exceptional output ahead of the period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено40–64 46%
<40 33.0%
65–89 20%
90-114 3.6%
<40
33%
40–64
46%
65–89
20%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140–164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40–64 46%
<40 33.0%
65–89 20%
90-114 3.6%
<40
33%
40–64
46%
65–89
20%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140–164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions the 40-64 tweet range as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s X activity August 20-22, driven by his established daily posting rhythm of roughly 15-20 updates amid routine business commentary and platform engagement. Recent weeks show consistent volume without major spikes from Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or high-profile controversies, keeping the moderate band ahead of lower totals. The three-day window sits near typical mid-week patterns, though any sudden news cycle involving xAI developments or regulatory headlines could push activity higher in the closing days. Market-implied odds reflect traders’ assessment of steady rather than exceptional output ahead of the period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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