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icon for Избиратели Вашингтона отменяют налог на миллионеров?

Избиратели Вашингтона отменяют налог на миллионеров?

icon for Избиратели Вашингтона отменяют налог на миллионеров?

Избиратели Вашингтона отменяют налог на миллионеров?

Да

27% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

27% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). **Washington voters will decide Initiative 645 on November 3, 2026, which seeks to repeal the 9.9% tax on household income above $1 million enacted earlier this year and prohibit future income taxes.** The measure, backed by Let’s Go Washington and hedge fund manager Brian Heywood, qualified for the ballot after collecting over 500,000 signatures. Opponents, including Gov. Bob Ferguson and labor groups, have framed repeal as reducing funding for K-12 education, higher education, and healthcare. Early polling from June showed the repeal trailing 38% yes to 57% no. Campaigns have raised roughly $13 million combined, with legal disputes over ballot language ongoing. These factors, particularly service-impact messaging and polling trends, underpin trader expectations that the tax will remain in place.

Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Объем
$60
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 1:18 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.sos.wa.gov/elections

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). **Washington voters will decide Initiative 645 on November 3, 2026, which seeks to repeal the 9.9% tax on household income above $1 million enacted earlier this year and prohibit future income taxes.** The measure, backed by Let’s Go Washington and hedge fund manager Brian Heywood, qualified for the ballot after collecting over 500,000 signatures. Opponents, including Gov. Bob Ferguson and labor groups, have framed repeal as reducing funding for K-12 education, higher education, and healthcare. Early polling from June showed the repeal trailing 38% yes to 57% no. Campaigns have raised roughly $13 million combined, with legal disputes over ballot language ongoing. These factors, particularly service-impact messaging and polling trends, underpin trader expectations that the tax will remain in place.

Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Объем
$60
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 1:18 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.sos.wa.gov/elections

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

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