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icon for Вашингтон принимает избирательные бюллетени, ограничивающие доступ трансгендерных школьников к спорту?

Вашингтон принимает избирательные бюллетени, ограничивающие доступ трансгендерных школьников к спорту?

icon for Вашингтон принимает избирательные бюллетени, ограничивающие доступ трансгендерных школьников к спорту?

Вашингтон принимает избирательные бюллетени, ограничивающие доступ трансгендерных школьников к спорту?

Да

48% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

48% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). Washington’s November 2026 ballot features Initiative 26-638, which would bar biologically male students from female-designated school sports and require sex verification through medical documentation for participants on girls’ teams. A June 2026 U.S. Supreme Court ruling affirming state authority over such policies has strengthened the legal backdrop, while campaign activity has intensified with opponents highlighting privacy impacts for all students and supporters pointing to fairness concerns. Internal polling cited by backers shows strong favorability, yet the measure remains closely divided amid broader debates over existing Washington Interscholastic Activities Association guidelines and comparable measures in other states. Upcoming public polling, campaign expenditures, and voter turnout patterns in the final months could shift the narrow trader consensus either direction.

Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 30, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). Washington’s November 2026 ballot features Initiative 26-638, which would bar biologically male students from female-designated school sports and require sex verification through medical documentation for participants on girls’ teams. A June 2026 U.S. Supreme Court ruling affirming state authority over such policies has strengthened the legal backdrop, while campaign activity has intensified with opponents highlighting privacy impacts for all students and supporters pointing to fairness concerns. Internal polling cited by backers shows strong favorability, yet the measure remains closely divided amid broader debates over existing Washington Interscholastic Activities Association guidelines and comparable measures in other states. Upcoming public polling, campaign expenditures, and voter turnout patterns in the final months could shift the narrow trader consensus either direction.

Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 30, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).

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