Ken Calvert holds a leading position in the CA-40 race due to his longer tenure, stronger performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, and representation of a larger share of the redrawn district following Proposition 50. Recent developments include the primary results where Calvert secured roughly 35% of the vote compared to Young Kim's 21%, advancing both Republicans to the November general election in a solidly Republican district. Negative advertising between the candidates has intensified, focusing on issues such as support for former President Trump and policy records, while fundraising and endorsements continue to favor Calvert's established networks. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages in the all-Republican matchup, with limited room for other outcomes given the district's partisan baseline and primary vote splits.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-40 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей (физическое лицо)
CA-40 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей (физическое лицо)
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Кен Кэлверт
66%
Янг Ким
34%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Кен Кэлверт
$1,264 Объем
66%
Янг Ким
$1,235 Объем
34%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ken Calvert holds a leading position in the CA-40 race due to his longer tenure, stronger performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, and representation of a larger share of the redrawn district following Proposition 50. Recent developments include the primary results where Calvert secured roughly 35% of the vote compared to Young Kim's 21%, advancing both Republicans to the November general election in a solidly Republican district. Negative advertising between the candidates has intensified, focusing on issues such as support for former President Trump and policy records, while fundraising and endorsements continue to favor Calvert's established networks. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages in the all-Republican matchup, with limited room for other outcomes given the district's partisan baseline and primary vote splits.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET
Объем
$2,498Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ken Calvert holds a leading position in the CA-40 race due to his longer tenure, stronger performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, and representation of a larger share of the redrawn district following Proposition 50. Recent developments include the primary results where Calvert secured roughly 35% of the vote compared to Young Kim's 21%, advancing both Republicans to the November general election in a solidly Republican district. Negative advertising between the candidates has intensified, focusing on issues such as support for former President Trump and policy records, while fundraising and endorsements continue to favor Calvert's established networks. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages in the all-Republican matchup, with limited room for other outcomes given the district's partisan baseline and primary vote splits.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$2,498Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Ken Calvert holds a leading position in the CA-40 race due to his longer tenure, stronger performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, and representation of a larger share of the redrawn district following Proposition 50. Recent developments include the primary results where Calvert secured roughly 35% of the vote compared to Young Kim's 21%, advancing both Republicans to the November general election in a solidly Republican district. Negative advertising between the candidates has intensified, focusing on issues such as support for former President Trump and policy records, while fundraising and endorsements continue to favor Calvert's established networks. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages in the all-Republican matchup, with limited room for other outcomes given the district's partisan baseline and primary vote splits.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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