Ben McAdams holds a commanding lead in the June 23 Democratic primary for Utah’s newly redrawn 1st Congressional District, a seat rated safe Democratic after court-ordered redistricting shifted its partisan balance sharply left. Traders price his advantage at 85.5% largely on superior fundraising—nearly $1 million ahead of rivals—and broad name recognition as the state’s most recent Democratic member of Congress. State Sen. Nate Blouin trails at 13% as the strongest progressive challenger, though the progressive lane remains fragmented among Liban Mohamed, who prevailed at the party convention, tax attorney Michael Farrell, and others. A late-May debate and an internal Blouin poll showing McAdams ahead by 10 points reinforced the frontrunner status without altering the overall consensus. The primary’s open format and short timeline to June 23 leave limited room for late shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБен МакАдамс 86%
Нейт Блуэн 13%
Либан Мохамед 2.3%
Лус Эскамилья <1%
$43,044 Объем
$43,044 Объем
Бен МакАдамс
86%
Нейт Блуэн
13%
Либан Мохамед
2%
Лус Эскамилья
<1%
Эрин Менденхолл
<1%
Кэролайн Глайх
<1%
Брайан Кинг
<1%
Кэтлин Рибе
<1%
Каэл Уэстон
<1%
Дженни Уилсон
<1%
Майкл Фаррелл
<1%
Бен МакАдамс 86%
Нейт Блуэн 13%
Либан Мохамед 2.3%
Лус Эскамилья <1%
$43,044 Объем
$43,044 Объем
Бен МакАдамс
86%
Нейт Блуэн
13%
Либан Мохамед
2%
Лус Эскамилья
<1%
Эрин Менденхолл
<1%
Кэролайн Глайх
<1%
Брайан Кинг
<1%
Кэтлин Рибе
<1%
Каэл Уэстон
<1%
Дженни Уилсон
<1%
Майкл Фаррелл
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ben McAdams holds a commanding lead in the June 23 Democratic primary for Utah’s newly redrawn 1st Congressional District, a seat rated safe Democratic after court-ordered redistricting shifted its partisan balance sharply left. Traders price his advantage at 85.5% largely on superior fundraising—nearly $1 million ahead of rivals—and broad name recognition as the state’s most recent Democratic member of Congress. State Sen. Nate Blouin trails at 13% as the strongest progressive challenger, though the progressive lane remains fragmented among Liban Mohamed, who prevailed at the party convention, tax attorney Michael Farrell, and others. A late-May debate and an internal Blouin poll showing McAdams ahead by 10 points reinforced the frontrunner status without altering the overall consensus. The primary’s open format and short timeline to June 23 leave limited room for late shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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