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Helen Zille 57%

Фрэнк Чикане 28.9%

Herman Mashaba 7.0%

Kenny Kunene 4.4%

Polymarket

$81,695 Объем

Helen Zille 57%

Фрэнк Чикане 28.9%

Herman Mashaba 7.0%

Kenny Kunene 4.4%

Polymarket

$81,695 Объем

icon for Helen Zille

Helen Zille

$27,899 Объем

57%

icon for Фрэнк Чикане

Фрэнк Чикане

$15,789 Объем

29%

icon for Herman Mashaba

Herman Mashaba

$14,994 Объем

7%

icon for Kenny Kunene

Kenny Kunene

$2,484 Объем

4%

icon for Loyiso Masuku

Loyiso Masuku

$18,258 Объем

1%

icon for Дэвид Махура

Дэвид Махура

$2,271 Объем

1%

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Helen Zille, the Democratic Alliance candidate, leads trader consensus at 57% amid her high-visibility campaign highlighting Johannesburg's infrastructure failures, including potholes and water issues, ahead of the 4 November 2026 municipal elections. With no party expected to secure an outright majority, outcomes hinge on coalition negotiations among parties like the ANC, EFF, and ActionSA. The tight probabilities across numerous contenders reflect uncertainty over post-election bargaining dynamics and the ANC's delayed mayoral candidate selection, while lower odds for figures such as Frank Chikane and Herman Mashaba underscore limited current momentum. Scheduled voter registration deadlines and manifesto launches continue to shape positioning in this proportional representation system.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$81,695
Дата окончания
17 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Helen Zille, the Democratic Alliance candidate, leads trader consensus at 57% amid her high-visibility campaign highlighting Johannesburg's infrastructure failures, including potholes and water issues, ahead of the 4 November 2026 municipal elections. With no party expected to secure an outright majority, outcomes hinge on coalition negotiations among parties like the ANC, EFF, and ActionSA. The tight probabilities across numerous contenders reflect uncertainty over post-election bargaining dynamics and the ANC's delayed mayoral candidate selection, while lower odds for figures such as Frank Chikane and Herman Mashaba underscore limited current momentum. Scheduled voter registration deadlines and manifesto launches continue to shape positioning in this proportional representation system.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$81,695
Дата окончания
17 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Next Mayor of Johannesburg?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Helen Zille» с 57%, за ним следует «Фрэнк Чикане» с 29%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 57¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 57%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Next Mayor of Johannesburg?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $81.7K с момента запуска рынка Jun 9, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Next Mayor of Johannesburg?», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Next Mayor of Johannesburg?» — «Helen Zille» с 57%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 57%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Фрэнк Чикане» с 29%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Next Mayor of Johannesburg?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.