The indirect election by Estonia's Riigikogu on September 2, 2026, requires broad cross-party support or a two-thirds majority, which has kept probabilities tightly clustered as parties weigh consensus figures after incumbent Alar Karis declined a second term. Ülle Madise, the chancellor of justice, has gained traction as a potential unifying nominee backed by Reform, SDE, and Eesti 200, while EKRE's declared candidate Mart Helme anchors opposition support. Other names including Jonatan Vseviov, Maive Rute, and Riho Ühtegi remain under discussion, with outcomes hinging on late-August nominations and parliamentary negotiations that could either secure an early winner or shift the process to the electoral college. This fragmented landscape sustains even odds across contenders until clearer alliances form.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМарт Хельме 43%
Юлле Мадисе 42%
Рихо Үхтеги 38%
Рийна Кионка 38%
Март Хельме
43%
Юлле Мадисе
42%
Рихо Үхтеги
38%
Рийна Кионка
38%
Индрек Таранд
38%
Ханнес Хансо
38%
Майве Руте
38%
Индрек Лаул
38%
Йонатан Всевиов
38%
Март Хельме 43%
Юлле Мадисе 42%
Рихо Үхтеги 38%
Рийна Кионка 38%
Март Хельме
43%
Юлле Мадисе
42%
Рихо Үхтеги
38%
Рийна Кионка
38%
Индрек Таранд
38%
Ханнес Хансо
38%
Майве Руте
38%
Индрек Лаул
38%
Йонатан Всевиов
38%
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Estonia by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Estonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Estonia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Estonia by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Estonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Estonia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The indirect election by Estonia's Riigikogu on September 2, 2026, requires broad cross-party support or a two-thirds majority, which has kept probabilities tightly clustered as parties weigh consensus figures after incumbent Alar Karis declined a second term. Ülle Madise, the chancellor of justice, has gained traction as a potential unifying nominee backed by Reform, SDE, and Eesti 200, while EKRE's declared candidate Mart Helme anchors opposition support. Other names including Jonatan Vseviov, Maive Rute, and Riho Ühtegi remain under discussion, with outcomes hinging on late-August nominations and parliamentary negotiations that could either secure an early winner or shift the process to the electoral college. This fragmented landscape sustains even odds across contenders until clearer alliances form.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы