The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote, favoring a closed internal primary over participation in the broader united left contest, stands as the decisive factor behind traders pricing "Canceled" at 93.5%. This decision followed earlier tensions after the 2026 municipal elections and excluded key actors such as La France Insoumise, while prompting withdrawals by figures including Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy. The remaining effort now centers on a narrower group of Écologistes, Debout! and the Breton Democratic Union ahead of the October 11 date. Limited coalition momentum and competing separate processes have reinforced consensus on cancellation, though a last-minute agreement among the few remaining participants could still alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоFrance United Left Primary Winner
France United Left Primary Winner
Отменено 93.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$212,616 Объем
$212,616 Объем
10 окт. 2026 г.
Отменено
94%
Marine Tondelier
1%
François Ruffin
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Бенжамен Люкас-Люнди
<1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Отменено 93.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$212,616 Объем
$212,616 Объем
10 окт. 2026 г.
Отменено
$76,903 Объем
94%
Marine Tondelier
$49,788 Объем
1%
François Ruffin
$31,112 Объем
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,369 Объем
1%
Бенжамен Люкас-Люнди
$4,216 Объем
<1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 Объем
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote, favoring a closed internal primary over participation in the broader united left contest, stands as the decisive factor behind traders pricing "Canceled" at 93.5%. This decision followed earlier tensions after the 2026 municipal elections and excluded key actors such as La France Insoumise, while prompting withdrawals by figures including Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy. The remaining effort now centers on a narrower group of Écologistes, Debout! and the Breton Democratic Union ahead of the October 11 date. Limited coalition momentum and competing separate processes have reinforced consensus on cancellation, though a last-minute agreement among the few remaining participants could still alter the outcome.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Объем
$212,616Дата окончания
11 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote, favoring a closed internal primary over participation in the broader united left contest, stands as the decisive factor behind traders pricing "Canceled" at 93.5%. This decision followed earlier tensions after the 2026 municipal elections and excluded key actors such as La France Insoumise, while prompting withdrawals by figures including Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy. The remaining effort now centers on a narrower group of Écologistes, Debout! and the Breton Democratic Union ahead of the October 11 date. Limited coalition momentum and competing separate processes have reinforced consensus on cancellation, though a last-minute agreement among the few remaining participants could still alter the outcome.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$212,616Дата окончания
11 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote, favoring a closed internal primary over participation in the broader united left contest, stands as the decisive factor behind traders pricing "Canceled" at 93.5%. This decision followed earlier tensions after the 2026 municipal elections and excluded key actors such as La France Insoumise, while prompting withdrawals by figures including Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy. The remaining effort now centers on a narrower group of Écologistes, Debout! and the Breton Democratic Union ahead of the October 11 date. Limited coalition momentum and competing separate processes have reinforced consensus on cancellation, though a last-minute agreement among the few remaining participants could still alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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