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Выборы·Выборы во Франции

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Выборы·Выборы во Франции

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$64,726 Объем

22 апр. 2027 г.
Polymarket

$64,726 Объем

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$1,418 Объем

66%

Jordan Bardella

$4,893 Объем

8%

Michel Barnier

$228 Объем

12%

Valérie Pécresse

$511 Объем

5%

Élisabeth Borne

$320 Объем

14%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$587 Объем

6%

Jean Castex

$652 Объем

6%

Gérald Darmanin

$863 Объем

3%

Sébastien Lecornu

$2,054 Объем

18%

François Bayrou

$553 Объем

6%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$547 Объем

51%

Carole Delga

$184 Объем

12%

Olivier Faure

$2,047 Объем

35%

François Hollande

$1,029 Объем

34%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$9,654 Объем

92%

Manuel Bompard

$2,929 Объем

6%

Mathilde Panot

$17,061 Объем

4%

Dominique de Villepin

$247 Объем

53%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Multiple high-profile figures have already declared or been nominated for France's April 2027 presidential election during 2026, reflecting a crowded field after Emmanuel Macron's ineligibility under term limits. Marine Le Pen announced her candidacy in July 2026 following a court ruling that adjusted her prior ineligibility, while Gabriel Attal declared in May and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Polling shows far-right National Rally candidates leading first-round projections amid ongoing left-right fragmentation and center-right consolidation efforts. Additional announcements or party decisions remain possible before year-end, with figures such as Édouard Philippe positioned as potential contenders based on surveys. The timeline for formal entries continues to shape trader assessments of probable ballot participants.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$64,726
Дата окончания
23 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Multiple high-profile figures have already declared or been nominated for France's April 2027 presidential election during 2026, reflecting a crowded field after Emmanuel Macron's ineligibility under term limits. Marine Le Pen announced her candidacy in July 2026 following a court ruling that adjusted her prior ineligibility, while Gabriel Attal declared in May and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Polling shows far-right National Rally candidates leading first-round projections amid ongoing left-right fragmentation and center-right consolidation efforts. Additional announcements or party decisions remain possible before year-end, with figures such as Édouard Philippe positioned as potential contenders based on surveys. The timeline for formal entries continues to shape trader assessments of probable ballot participants.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$64,726
Дата окончания
23 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Связанные

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Да
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

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«French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 21 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Gabriel Attal» с 100%, за ним следует «Jean-Luc Mélenchon» с 100%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $64.7K с момента запуска рынка Apr 22, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

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Текущий фаворит для «French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» — «Gabriel Attal» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Jean-Luc Mélenchon» с 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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