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Политика·Основные выборы

Makerfield by-election Winner

icon for Makerfield by-election Winner
Политика·Основные выборы

Makerfield by-election Winner

Andy Burnham 85%

Robert Kenyon 14%

Ребекка Шеперд 2.6%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$2,425,546 Объем

Andy Burnham 85%

Robert Kenyon 14%

Ребекка Шеперд 2.6%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$2,425,546 Объем

Andy Burnham

$269,546 Объем

85%

Robert Kenyon

$199,153 Объем

14%

Ребекка Шеперд

$1,928,958 Объем

3%

Simon Finkelstein

$6,702 Объем

<1%

Maria Deery

$6,509 Объем

<1%

John Skipworth

$6,531 Объем

<1%

James Thomas Bryer

$8,147 Объем

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market at 84.5% because Labour selected the Greater Manchester mayor as its candidate following Josh Simons’ resignation in May 2026, positioning Burnham to enter Parliament and potentially contest the party leadership. Recent Survation polling shows Burnham ahead on 49% to Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon on 39%, narrowing earlier gaps and confirming a two-horse contest in the constituency. Kenyon, a local councillor, benefits from Reform’s strong regional performance in recent local elections, yet faces the structural challenge of overturning Labour’s established base. The 18 June vote date leaves limited time for further shifts, with other candidates polling in single digits and holding minimal implied probability.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Объем
$2,425,546
Дата окончания
18 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market at 84.5% because Labour selected the Greater Manchester mayor as its candidate following Josh Simons’ resignation in May 2026, positioning Burnham to enter Parliament and potentially contest the party leadership. Recent Survation polling shows Burnham ahead on 49% to Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon on 39%, narrowing earlier gaps and confirming a two-horse contest in the constituency. Kenyon, a local councillor, benefits from Reform’s strong regional performance in recent local elections, yet faces the structural challenge of overturning Labour’s established base. The 18 June vote date leaves limited time for further shifts, with other candidates polling in single digits and holding minimal implied probability.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Объем
$2,425,546
Дата окончания
18 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Makerfield by-election Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Andy Burnham» с 85%, за ним следует «Robert Kenyon» с 14%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 85¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 85%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Makerfield by-election Winner» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $2.4 million с момента запуска рынка May 14, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Makerfield by-election Winner», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Makerfield by-election Winner» — «Andy Burnham» с 85%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 85%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Robert Kenyon» с 14%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Makerfield by-election Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.