**U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that American troops will not enter Gaza itself, with deployments limited to coordination roles inside Israel.** In October 2025, the U.S. sent up to 200 personnel to a Civil Military Coordination Center in Israel to support ceasefire monitoring, logistics, and stabilization planning for Gaza under the Trump administration’s framework, but explicit policy barred any operations on the ground in the enclave. Subsequent reporting through mid-2026 on the International Stabilization Force (ISF) confirmed that the multinational effort—envisioned for early 2026—relies primarily on troops from other nations, with U.S. contributions remaining advisory and based outside Gaza. By May 2026, the U.S. had begun reducing its Israel-based footprint amid slow ISF progress. These consistent positions from the administration and military, combined with the absence of any announced plans or congressional actions authorizing direct U.S. ground presence before the 2027 cutoff, underpin traders’ strong consensus against deployment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСилы США в Газе до 2027 года?
Силы США в Газе до 2027 года?
Да
7% вероятность
$183,977 Объем
$183,977 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
7% вероятность
$183,977 Объем
$183,977 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that American troops will not enter Gaza itself, with deployments limited to coordination roles inside Israel.** In October 2025, the U.S. sent up to 200 personnel to a Civil Military Coordination Center in Israel to support ceasefire monitoring, logistics, and stabilization planning for Gaza under the Trump administration’s framework, but explicit policy barred any operations on the ground in the enclave.
Subsequent reporting through mid-2026 on the International Stabilization Force (ISF) confirmed that the multinational effort—envisioned for early 2026—relies primarily on troops from other nations, with U.S. contributions remaining advisory and based outside Gaza. By May 2026, the U.S. had begun reducing its Israel-based footprint amid slow ISF progress.
These consistent positions from the administration and military, combined with the absence of any announced plans or congressional actions authorizing direct U.S. ground presence before the 2027 cutoff, underpin traders’ strong consensus against deployment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
Объем
$183,977Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that American troops will not enter Gaza itself, with deployments limited to coordination roles inside Israel.** In October 2025, the U.S. sent up to 200 personnel to a Civil Military Coordination Center in Israel to support ceasefire monitoring, logistics, and stabilization planning for Gaza under the Trump administration’s framework, but explicit policy barred any operations on the ground in the enclave.
Subsequent reporting through mid-2026 on the International Stabilization Force (ISF) confirmed that the multinational effort—envisioned for early 2026—relies primarily on troops from other nations, with U.S. contributions remaining advisory and based outside Gaza. By May 2026, the U.S. had begun reducing its Israel-based footprint amid slow ISF progress.
These consistent positions from the administration and military, combined with the absence of any announced plans or congressional actions authorizing direct U.S. ground presence before the 2027 cutoff, underpin traders’ strong consensus against deployment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$183,977Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that American troops will not enter Gaza itself, with deployments limited to coordination roles inside Israel.** In October 2025, the U.S. sent up to 200 personnel to a Civil Military Coordination Center in Israel to support ceasefire monitoring, logistics, and stabilization planning for Gaza under the Trump administration’s framework, but explicit policy barred any operations on the ground in the enclave. Subsequent reporting through mid-2026 on the International Stabilization Force (ISF) confirmed that the multinational effort—envisioned for early 2026—relies primarily on troops from other nations, with U.S. contributions remaining advisory and based outside Gaza. By May 2026, the U.S. had begun reducing its Israel-based footprint amid slow ISF progress. These consistent positions from the administration and military, combined with the absence of any announced plans or congressional actions authorizing direct U.S. ground presence before the 2027 cutoff, underpin traders’ strong consensus against deployment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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